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<br />EXECUTIVE SUMMARY <br /> <br />Catch rates of age-O Colorado pikeminnow (Ptychocheilus lucius) were compared between <br />fall (September-October) and spring (March-April) sampling periods as indices of overwinter <br />survival in two reaches of the Green River, Utah. Overwinter survival indices were determined for <br />the year classes 1987-95 for Reach 3 (Colorado River confluence upstream to Green River, Utah; <br />193 km) and for the year classes 1989-94 for Reach 4 (Sand Wash upstream to Split Mountain, Utah; <br />169 km). Average indices were 54% (23-100%) and 51% (29-96%), respectively. <br /> <br />Overwinter survival indices for Reach 3 were compared to total length of fish in fall, flow <br />variability, river temperature, average backwater depth, and fall densities of non-native fishes. No <br />clear relationships were revealed for river temperature, or densities of non-native fishes. Lower <br />survival was demonstrated for small size in fall, higher fluctuating river flows, and significantly <br />higher survival was related to backwater depth. Backwaters with mean depths of> 120 cm showed <br />,the highest overwinter survival index of 85%, compared to only 18% for backwaters with mean <br />depth of <30 cm. These findings show that backwaters deepened by appropriate antecedent flows <br />provide greater resilience to inuridation and desiccation as a result of fluctuating releases from <br />Flaming Gorge Dam. <br /> <br />We noted that sampling in spring was preceded in all years by early runoff spikes from low <br />elevation snowmelt and river ice breakup, and hypothesize that much of the decrease in densities of <br />age-O Colorado pikeminnow in nursery backwaters is related to a natural survival strategy of <br />downstream dispersal. This hypothesis is supported by findings of highest densities of age-O <br />Colorado pikeminnow in the Lake Powell inflow immediately following these March spikes in 1993 <br />and 1994. <br /> <br />These analyses show that interactions among variables affecting survival of age-O Colorado <br />pikeminnoware complex. Catch rate statistics collected in fall and spring may be of insufficient <br />sensitivity to provide accurate and reliable estimates of fish density. This paper concludes that <br />merwinter survival of age-O Colorado pikeminnow must be considered as an i~portant aspect in <br />(n-crall survival of fish to age of recruitment, but existing measures of fall and spring densities show <br />high variability that is partly attributed to annual population variability as well as to sampling. We <br />helieve that understanding the fate of age-O Colorado pikeminnow during the winter period is the <br />key to determining cohort strength and recruitment to the adult portion of the population. It is <br />important to understand and separate the effect of anthropogenic actions from natural life history <br />strategies on long-term conservation of this species. <br /> <br />IV <br />