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At the opening reception for the 75th anniversary symposium, Weatherford and Brown offered these comparisons: BROWN: 1983 SPECULATIONS WEATHERFORD: 1997 REALITY CHECK . Possible stresses grear enough to . No epic shocks to the system but incremental movement toward scarcity perturb the sratus quo (accelerated exhausrion of cheap water and unused apportionment). . Oil crisis . No energy crisis . Massive quantification of . Incremental, nor dislocative, largely not implemented, tribal tribal water rights quantification in Colorado River Basin: 10 settlement acts for approximately 1 million acre-feet matching rights of five decreed tribes in Arizona v. California. . Judicial lowering of interstate . No judicial application of Sporhase to the Colorado River Basin. marketing barriers The threat of a test case remains real if voluntary interstate leasing doesn't occur before certain lower division cities hit hardpan. . Deep, sustained drought . No basin-wide climatic catastrophe (the irony of the May/June 1983 flooding). The threat remains as outlined in a May 1997 letter to President Clinton from 21 ecologists predicting a 2 degree to 6 degree rise in temperature by 2100 and a mixture of drought, flooding and disease. Goals of Greenhouse Treaty not being met. . Improved efficiency through . Incremental conservation (IRPs) and continuing uncertainty conservation and the emergence over what standards of beneficial use will be applied to define of a regional water market waste and extent to which federal government will become engaged in, for example, the dispute in the Imperial Valley. . Continuing stonewalling of direct interstate transfers. Some innovative intrastate transfers. Only interstate initiative in voluntary, forbearance and unused apportionment. . More recognition of equity claims, . Anecdotal instances only of asserting recognition of environmental i.e. five principles below: and tribal values, 10 tribe partnership, 10 Indian settlement acts . Reciptocity . Cooperative effort since 1987 to improve habitat for recovery of 4 endangered species in the Upper Colorado - ESA . Grand Canyon Protection Act of 1992. Glen Canyon Dam EIS and spike flow . Habitat conservation and planning in lower division . Value-pluralism (pursuit of . Non-injury standard accepted in interstate discussions, 1990-97 legitimate ends subject to non injury to others and resource) . Fair access and participation . Grand Canyon Trust Conference . Good faith fulfillment of promises . Struggle to fund Animas-La Plata . Intergenerational responsibility . Endangered Species Act initiatives . More recognition of environmental . Organized forum on Salton Sea problems/support for val ues Santa Clara Cienega in Mexico . Management study funded by Bureau done by Grand Canyon Trust . Southwestern Center for Biodiversity lawsuit against FWS/Bureau under ESA . More public information for and . Incremental signs of improvement. For example: representation of diverse interests in . Glen Canyon Dam Environmental committee under decision making Grand Canyon Protection Act . Integrated resource planning process . Grand Canyon Trust conference SYMPOSIUM PROCEEDINGS MAY 1997 <)