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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />While it appears that a reduction in frazil ice and jam ice development would be beneficial to nursery <br />backwaters and hence to the survival of the fish, we caution against reaching the conclusion that low, <br />steady releases in severe winters would produce these desirable effects. Low volume releases have <br />not been observed on the Green River during a severe winter, and our understanding of the effective <br />variables and interrelationships is limited. <br /> <br />Another important consideration is the size and depth of backwaters available during winter periods. <br />Valdez and Cowdell (1993) found less reduction in overwinter densities of age-O Colorado squawfish <br />for deeper backwaters, indicating higher survival rates offish in deeper backwater; i.e., fish density <br />was reduced by 82%,56%,42%,50%, and 15% for backwaters with depths <1 ft, 1-2 ft, 2-3 ft, 3-4 <br />ft, and >4 ft. These results suggest that either deeper backwaters are more persistent under varying <br />flows or that ice processes have less effect on deeper backwaters. <br /> <br />Further study is recommended that would continue to measure physical and chemical variables in <br />observed backwaters at various release scenarios and under different winter weather regimes. A <br />modeling effort is also recommended in which physical, chemical, and biological variables are <br />considered to evaluate the timing and extent of ice formation under different dam operations. <br /> <br />7.2 Other Considerations <br /> <br />Decreases of39 to 77% in average densities of age-O Colorado squawfish have been reported for the <br />1987 through 1995 year classes in the primary nursery area of the Green River from Jensen to Ouray <br />(Figure 7, Valdez and CowdeIl1996). Not enough is known about the life history of this species to <br />determine if this overwinter survival reflects historic levels, or if survival has been reduced by effects <br />of dam operations. In the period between ISMP sampling, usually late September to late March, a <br />number of variables could be responsible for this perceived decrease in fish density, including changes <br />in habitat use, predation, mortality from stress or starvation, and/or movement or transport from the <br />area. Sampling of different habitats indicates that a change in habitat is unlikely (Valdez 1990), and <br />the issue of predation is recognized, but has not been addressed for winter conditions. Kaeding and <br />Osmundson (1988) stated that the unusually small size of age-O Colorado squawfish at the beginning <br />of winter might be an important factor affecting .recruitment to adult stocks. Thompson (1989) <br />determined that age-O Colorado squawfish entering the. winter period at lengths greater than 35 mm <br />had a higher fat content and presumably a greater chance of overwinter survival. <br /> <br />Movement or transport from nursery areas by age-O Colorado squawfish have not been adequately <br />evaluated. This could be an important factor in local decreases in densities of fish, since the species <br />is potomodromous and highly migratory in at least the adult stage (Tyus 1984). Possibly, dispersal <br />during spike winter flows and spring runoff could be part of the life history strategy by the species <br />to ~sperse to more downstream reaches with warmer water temperatures and greater food <br />availability. However, the downstream dispersal path is presently impeded by the presence of Lake <br />Powell and survival is reduced by the large assemblage of predators in the river and reservoir (Valdez <br />and Cowdell 1994). This downstream dispersal may be the result of cues provided by spike flows <br />in winter and early spring which inundate backwaters and force fish to find other habitats. <br /> <br />24 <br />