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PRRIP Adaptive Management Plan
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Last modified
1/26/2010 4:36:28 PM
Creation date
5/28/2009 12:31:18 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8461.100
Description
Adaptive Management Workgroup (PRRIP)
State
CO
Basin
South Platte
Water Division
1
Author
PRRIP
Title
PRRIP Adaptive Management Plan
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Project Overview
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infrared photographs were used to determine the widest channel. The centerline was <br />documented in a line theme called (baseline.shp). Anchor points were established every 400 <br />meters along the centerline and documented in a point theme called (400m-pts.shp). This file <br />was updated with the river miles (400ma_pts.shp) using the "River Miles for the Central Platte <br />River" dataset published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Great Plains Region, Platte River <br />EIS Office. <br />For First Increment data to be most useful, monitoring activities will need to survey the exact <br />same sites. For this reason, the centerline will not be changed if the river thalweg moves during <br />the First Increment. For example, there will be geomorphic monitoring designed to evaluate <br />cross sections of the river at an anchor point. The cross sections will be oriented perpendicular <br />to flow and the endpoints will be marked oil the banks. Throughout the First Increment, the <br />direction of flow of the river may shift at an anchor point, but for comparison purposes, the <br />orientation of the cross section should not be shifted. Keeping the centerline and the sample <br />activities in the same location will increase precision for trend detection. <br />The monitoring design has intentionally avoided stratification in the membership design. Since <br />attributes of long term monitoring locations evolve through time, a stratified design will tend to <br />lose efficiency as monitoring data accumulate. For example, it is common far a sample unit that <br />has been assigned to one stratum at the beginning of the study to be more similar to another <br />stratum after a number of years (e.g., grassland in Year 1 has developed into a shrubland by Year <br />10). In this case the stratum of the sample unit at analysis time is unclear. The sample unit could <br />be analyzed with the initial stratum (grassland) resulting in high within strata variance since the <br />units attributes have changed. Alternatively, the sample unit could be moved to the ecologically <br />appropriate stratum (shrubland) for the analysis, though the probability of inclusion of this <br />sample unit in the new stratum is un-defined. A systematic placement of points throughout the <br />study area will ensure coverage of each stratum in proportion to the relative abundance of the <br />stratum each year. <br />Monitoring data analysis - Analyses conducted with monitoring data will include the estimation <br />of linear trend and status (mean levels). Trends can be estimated at one individual sample unit <br />(gross trend) and across all sample units (net trend; Duncan and Kalton 1987). The average of <br />gross trends across each sample unit will be used to estimate net trend (Urquhart et al. 1998). <br />Ecologically structured variance components (identifiable by the revisit design) of net trend can <br />be incorporated into a standard linear statistical model resulting in powerful estimates of the <br />trend of interest (Urquhart et al. 1998). <br />Statistical analysis methods such as post-stratification (Thompson 1992) will be used to estimate <br />the status and trend of certain groups of inonitoring locations. Locations can be grouped into <br />geomorphological or bridge segments for analyses that are consistent with historic analyses. <br />Alternatively, locations can be grouped into areas with significant influence by human structures <br />(bridges, diversions, etc.) and locations not directly influenced by human structures. Sampling <br />units will be classified into strata before each analysis so that the within strata variance is <br />minimized. <br />September 1, 2006 Adaptive Management Plan 35
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