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PRRIP Adaptive Management Plan
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PRRIP Adaptive Management Plan
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Last modified
1/26/2010 4:36:28 PM
Creation date
5/28/2009 12:31:18 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8461.100
Description
Adaptive Management Workgroup (PRRIP)
State
CO
Basin
South Platte
Water Division
1
Author
PRRIP
Title
PRRIP Adaptive Management Plan
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Project Overview
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distinguished from the numerous other "models" associated with the Platte River, including <br />computer models, statistical models, biological models, physical models, etc., which may be <br />used as tools in evaluations under this plan and/or means to develop management predictions. <br />These models will be tested and likely revised using information developed under this Plan. <br />Brief descriptions of these other models are found in Appendix B. Hypotheses are outgrowths of <br />the CEMs and are more specific and quantifiable conjectures about how the Platte River system <br />functions and how the system may respond to Program management actions. A hypothesis may <br />be tested by making predictions based on the hypothesis, designing a study, conducting the study <br />and comparing the predictions against the resulting data and conclusions. <br />III.A. Conceptual Ecological Models <br />CEMs provide a visual framework or graphical representation for the current or hypothesized <br />understanding of the central and lower Platte River associated habitats relative to target species, <br />including the underlying hypotheses on how the driving forces, relationships, and processes <br />impact the valued ecosystem components. CEMs are also used to identify competing hypotheses <br />and research questions to be addressed by management, monitoring and research. During the <br />First Increment, CEMs will be reviewed and evaluated, as infortnation becomes available, and <br />new questions, models and hypotheses will be formulated that may be used to modify <br />management actions and monitoring and research. <br />By the very nature of adaptive management, CEMs will be reviewed on a regular basis and <br />modified as warranted based upon findings within the adaptive management implementation. <br />The Governance Committee will have final approval of the AMP, and thus the CEMs, prior to <br />Program implementation. <br />III.B. Hypotheses <br />For the Program, hypotheses deal with system processes (e.g., the role of sediment in channel <br />morphology), system ecology (e.g., the way target species use the central Platte), and the <br />response of target species and their habitat to Program management. CEMs were used by the AM <br />Working Group to develop hypotheses and to identify areas of uncertainty and disagreement <br />(i.e., competing hypotheses). The competing hypotheses regarding how the system "works" and <br />what functions or effects various management practices are proposed to achieve are illustrated in <br />the CEMs or they are easily derived from the CEMs as the alternate to the stated hypothesis. <br />During the July 1997 Cooperative Agreement, summary hypotheses were developed by the AM <br />Working Group and are included in the tables below. Besides these hypotheses, the AM <br />Working Group, Governance Committee, and other individuals have identified many other <br />hypotheses that have not been prioritized or completely drafted and reviewed. This larger list of <br />hypotheses is contained in Appendix C. <br />III.C. Conceptual Ecological Models and Broad Hypotheses <br />The AM Working Group created an overall conceptual model of the Platte River system (Figure <br />4). In developing the current system CEM, broad hypotheses were also developed and are <br />included in the following table. <br />S stem H otheses <br />September 1, 2006 Adaptive Management Plan 14
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