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3ra Draft <br />1 2} Amendment 52 circumvents the statewide transportation planning process by <br />2 giving decision-making authority for some of the money to the state legislature. The <br />3 statewide transportation plan, developed by an independent commission, identifies, <br />4 prioritizes, and selects transportation projects for funding. When legislators prioritize and <br />5 select transportation projects, political considerations may enter the decision-making <br />6 process. <br />7 3}Amendment 52 results in cuts to state programs that are currently funded by the <br />8 severance tax, such as low-income energy assistance and wildlife conservation. In <br />9 addition, the measure does not guarantee that any new money will go to projects that <br />10 relieve congestion on I-70. The money could instead replace current funding for <br />11 existing projects on I-70. Thus, the measure could result in growth in transportation <br />12 spending in areas unrelated to relieving I-70 congestion. <br />13 Estimate of Fiscal Impact <br />14 State Impacts. Amendment 52 does not change state severance tax collections. <br />15 Instead, it caps the amount of severance tax revenue that can be allocated to existing <br />16 state programs and diverts money above the cap to highway projects. Under the cap, <br />17 funding for existing state programs would grow from $92 million to $102 million over the <br />18 next four years. Based on the most recent state forecast of severance tax revenue, <br />19 Amendment 52 shifts $89 million to transportation in the current budget year, and <br />20 $226 million over the next four years. <br />21 The money shifted to transportation would have been spent on water projects, <br />22 existing state programs, and other programs as determined by the legislature. Table 2 <br />23 shows the change in spending that is expected to occur due to Amendment 52. Money <br />24 for water projects is expected to drop by $44.7 million in 2009, with the actual spending <br />25 reductions occurring in the following year. In budget year 2009, existing state programs <br />26 will see a total reduction of $1.4 million. Some of the programs experiencing cuts <br />27 include wildlife conservation, low-income energy assistance, bark beetle control, zebra <br />28 mussel control, and soil conservation. In addition, based on the current forecast, the <br />29 legislature would have been able to spend another $43.2 million in 2009. Over the next <br />30 four years, spending on existing state programs is expected to fall by about $21 million, <br />31 revenue for water projects is expected to drop by $113 million, and spending on other <br />32 programs will drop by $92.6 million. <br />-4- <br />