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4.2.1 Inflows -The Alamosa Basin water budget inflows consist of total inflows from the San <br />Juan Mountains and Sangre de Cristo Mountains, and precipitation. The study does not <br />distinguish mountain surface inflows from ground water inflows. <br />Inflows from the San Juan Mountains are based on a detailed water budget investigation of <br />the San Juan mountain range. The water budget was conducted because a significant amount <br />of water was believed to leave the basin as ground water. In the water budget, it was <br />estimated that precipitation was the only inflow, changes in storage were negligible and <br />outflows consisted of sublimation, Et, and ground water and surface water. The water <br />budget model was operated on a daily basis for each sub-basin, which was further divided <br />into subareas based upon winter precipitation and vegetation type. For each subarea, a daily <br />water budget was conducted to determine if estimated daily precipitation would be added to <br />snow pack or water in the root zone depending on the temperature. If a snowpack existed <br />then sublimation occurred, and if temperature exceeded 34 deg. F, then snowmelt <br />contributed to water in the root zone. When there was no snow pack then water in the root <br />zone was consumed by natural vegetation. When the water holding capacity of the root zone <br />was exceeded, then runoff or deep ground water percolation was estimated. Total average <br />annual surface and ground water inflow to the Alamosa Basin from the San Juan Mountains <br />was reported at 2,027 kaf/yr. In Table 1, we estimated the contribution of surface water and <br />ground water as 1,137 kaf/yr (56%), and 890 kaf/yr (44%), respectively. This was based on <br />Hearne and Dewey's (Table 7) where surface water outflows are compared to estimated total <br />water outflows, and surface water outflows averaged-about 56 percent of total outflows. <br />Surface water inflows from the Sangre de Cristo Mountains were estimated using a <br />regression model based on basin area and mean winter precipitation. The regression model <br />was based on 16 basins, 15 in New Mexico and one in Colorado. The regression model had a <br />correlation coefficient of 0.96, which is a very strong relationship. Ground water inflows <br />were estimated negligible based on geology of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, and the <br />location of the stream gages used for the regression analysis. The mean annual surface <br />inflow to the Alamosa Basin was reported at 246 kaf/yr. <br />Precipitation inflow (1,086 kaf/yr) to the Alamosa Basin was computed based on an average <br />precipitation of .64 ft/yr times 1,700,000 acres (rounded). The average precipitation value <br />was computed from the long-term mean of six climate stations in the Alamosa Basin as <br />reported by Davis Engineering Service, Inc. in 1977. <br />4.2.2 Consumptive Uses -Evapotranspiration (Et) in the Alamosa Basin was determined for crop <br />lands, water course and riparian areas, and for five classifications of undeveloped land where <br />the ground water table was less than 2 feet, 2-4 feet, 4-6 feet, 6-12 feet and greater than 12 <br />feet below land surface. <br />Irrigated crop areas were estimated from maps by U.S. Soil Conservation Service and <br />Colorado Sate University Experiment Station. Cropping patterns were derived from reports <br />by Colorado Crop and Livestock Reporting Service. A total of 710,000 irrigated acres was <br />determined from the land use maps, and consisted of 320,000 acres of harvested crops <br />(alfalfa, other hay, grain and potatoes), 180,000 acres of irrigated pasture, and 210,000 acres <br />ofnon-irrigated pasture. Potential crop consumptive use was computed using the modified <br />Blaney-Griddle method as reported by Davis Engineering Service in 1977. Irrigated crops <br />were estimated to have a full water supply from a combination of effective precipitation, <br />irrigation water, and shallow ground water. Non-effective precipitation on irrigated lands <br />was also estimated to be consumed by evaporation. Total Et estimates ranged from 1.6 ft/yr <br />rg_task8-1_2001-08.doc 10 of 19 Apri16, 2001 <br />