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simulation. The amount of water delivered will never be greater than the amount diverted, but <br />can be less. The reasons for under-delivery, or shortage, can include insufficient water rights <br />(legal supply), insufficient hydrology (physical supply) and inaccurate data (streamflows, <br />diversions, efficiency, return flows, etc.). In most instances, modeled shortages are a result of <br />insufficient wet water, although historical diversions under "free-river" conditions can also create <br />modeled shortages. <br />Table 3 <br />Simulation Results -Stream Flow Comparisons <br />1950 - 1997 <br />USGS Average Average Average Average Gage <br />Gage ID Historic Simulated Difference Difference Location <br /> (af) (af) (af) (%) <br />8213500 145269 145159 110 0 RG: THIRTYMIL,EBRG <br />8214500 21248 21236 13 0 NCLEAR: BLWCONTRES <br />8216500 16283 16283 0 0 WII,LOW: CREEDE <br />8217500 391347 391307 39 0 RG: WAGONWHEEL <br />8218500 44345 44345 0 0 GOOSE: WAGONWHEEL <br />8219500 146619 146620 -1 0 SFORKRG: SFORK <br />8220000 601410 601428 -18 0 RG: DEL NORTE <br />8220500 18082 18082 0 0 PINOS: DEL NORTE <br />8221500 246600 246998 -398 0 RG: MONTE VISTA <br />8223000 147864 143993 3871 3 RG: ALAMOSA <br />8223500 7956 7956 0 0 ROCKCRK: MONTE VISTA <br />8224500 8559 8560 -1 0 KERBER: VILGROVE <br />8227000 43586 43624 -38 0 SAGUACHE: SAGUACHE <br />8227500 8560 8560 -1 0 N CRESTONE: CRESTONE <br />8230500 7364 7385 -21 0 CARNERO: LAGARITA <br />8231000 8724 8725 -1 0 LA GARITA: LA GARITA <br />8236000 75913 75914 0 0 ALAMOSA: ABV TERRACE <br />8236500 76101 76604 -504 -1 ALAMOSA: BLW TERRACE <br />8238000 11717 11823 -106 -1 LA JARA: GALLEGOS <br />8240000 180569 176779 3791 2 RG: ABV TRINCHERA <br />8240500 15279 15279 0 0 TRINCHERA: FTGARLND <br />8241500 13549 13549 0 0 SNDECRIST: FTGARLND <br />8242500 13904 13905 -1 0 UTE CREEK FTGARLAND <br />8243500 10841 13168 -2326 -21 TRINCHERA: BLWSMITH <br />8245000 68077 68253 -176 0 CONEJOS: BLW PLATORO <br />8246500 223312 223491 -179 0 CONEJOS: MOGOTE <br />8247500 18280 18281 0 0 SANANTONIO:ORTIZ <br />8248000 81178 81178 0 0 LOS PINOS: ORTIZ <br />8248500 58101 59967 -1865 -3 SANANTONIO: MANASSA <br />8249000 113364 115059 -1695 -1 CONEJOS: LASAUCES <br />8250000 29992 31062 -1070 -4 CULEBRA: SANLUIS <br />8251500 305146 302816 2330 1 RG: LOBATOS <br />8252500 4662 4663 -1 0 COSTILLA: ABV COST <br />8253000 6400 6400 0 0 CASIAS: ABV COST <br />8253500 1200 1200 0 0 SANTIST:: ABV COST <br />8254000 14039 14095 -56 0 COSTILLA: BLW COST <br />8255500 31751 31765 -15 0 COSTIL,LA: COSTII,LA <br />CBPALACO 5338 5339 -1 0 CBP CANAL <br />C:Acdss\Task8-8.doc Phase lc Model September 27, 2000 -Page 11 of 17 <br />