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<br />DATA PRODUCTS <br /> <br />effects. RTi also obtained historical climate data for the Alamosa, San Luis Valley Regional Airport <br />weather station (KALS) to identify periods of high wind and low humidity that might be conducive to <br />sublimation losses. The KALS station is part of the F AA/NWS MET AR network. <br /> <br />3. Data Products <br /> <br />In May and June 2008, RTi produced weekly summaries of SNODAS SWE for the project area and <br />delivered the data products to the steering committee. The weekly products included a map of the project <br />area that overlays the most recent SNODAS SWE grid onto the key index basins. Each index gage was <br />annotated with the cunent SWE volume above the gage and the change in SWE volume from the <br />preceding week. Attachment 1 includes an example of the weekly map. RTi distributed an Excel <br />workbook containing historical and cunent SNODAS information for the key index basins. The <br />SNODAS data included daily values of average SWE depth and SWE volume for each basin, allowing a <br />comparison of how snowpack accumulation and ablation for WY 2008 compared to recent years. The <br />workbook also contained SWE estimates normalized using the maximum snow accumulation for each <br />water year to facilitate comparison across the years. Attachment 2 contains an example of the summary <br />SNODAS information submitted by RTi each week. Finally, RTi submitted an Excel workbook that <br />contained all historical and current SWE and soil moisture data collected for SNOTEL gages. This <br />product allows the team members to compare SNODAS SWE estimates and accumulation and melt <br />patterns against nearby SNOTEL stations. Attachment 3 contains an example of the SNOTEL data <br />submitted. During the course of the project, updated data products were distributed to the project steering <br />committee nine times. <br /> <br />The project steering committee provided feedback on the weekly products. For example, RTi added the <br />one-week SWE volume change to the map labels at the suggestion of the steering committee. Committee <br />members also expressed interest in calculating weekly runoff coefficients (ROCs) to compare streamflow <br />volumes to the changes in the snowpack SWE volume for the same period. RTi began calculating these <br />values but did not distribute them to the group. The nudging procedures used in SNODAS to adjust SWE <br />complicate short-term comparisons with other data. During the WY 2008 melt season, NOHRSC <br />performed several nudging procedures to adjust the amount of snow. SWE values increased due to <br />storms that generated more snow than indicated by the RUC2 numerical weather prediction model that <br />produces precipitation estimates for SNODAS. SWE values decreased due to under-simulated snowmelt. <br />These data assimilations frequently caused larger-than-normal SWE changes within a 24-hour peliod. <br />Daily changes may represent adjustments for gradual, long-term deviations of SNODAS from reality or <br />sudden changes in SWE from weather conditions. In either case, the nudging procedures obscure the <br />timing of SWE accumulation or melt required for short-term comparisons, resulting in anomalous ROC <br />values. <br /> <br />4. Forecast Comparison <br /> <br />RTi performed a limited investigation into recent NRCS water supply forecasts for the RIODELCO gage <br />that differed significantly from observed seasonal runoff volumes. The April-September water supply <br />forecasts at RIODELCO showed large deviations from actual runoff volumes in WY 2005 and WY 2007. <br />In WY 2005, the NRCS forecast was significantly higher than the actual seasonal runoff volume despite a <br />large snowpack. In WY 2007, the NRCS forecast was lower than actual seasonal runoff volumes. The <br />forecasting equations developed by the NRCS utilize first-of-the-month SWE observations and WY-to- <br />date precipitation totals at six SNOTEL stations (i.e., Lily Pond, Middle Creek, Molas Lake, Upper Rio <br />Grande, Upper San Juan, Wolf Creek Summit). <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />~Riverside Technology, inc. <br />