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<br />Major drainageway planning reports have been completed for Little <br />Dry Creek, Sand Creek, and Big Dry Creek (References 30, 34, and <br />35). These reports designate various structural measures and <br />nonstructural actions that would be appropriate to alleviate <br />potential flood damage along these streams. <br /> <br />3.0 ENGINEERING METHODS <br /> <br />For the flooding sources studied in detail in the community,standard <br />hydrologic arid hydraulic study methods were used to determine the flood <br />hazard data required for this study. Flood events of a magnitude which <br />are expected to be equaled or exceeded once on the average during any <br />10-, 50-, 100-, or 500-year period (recurrence interval) have been <br />c selected as having special significance for floodplain management and <br />for flood insurance rates. These events; commonly termed the 10-, 50-, <br />100-, and 500-year floods, have a 10, 2, 1, and 0.2 percent chance, <br />respectively, of being equaled or exceeded during any year. Although <br />the recurrence interval represents the long-term average period between <br />floods of a specific magnitude, rare floods could occur at short <br />intervals or even within the same year. The risk of experiEmcing a <br />rare flood increases when periods greater than 1 year are considered. <br />For example, the risk of having a flood which equals or excE!eds the <br />100-year flood (l percent chance of annual exceedence) in any 50-year <br />period is approximately 40 percent (4 in 10), and, for any 90-year <br />period, the risk increases to approximately 60 percent (6 in 10). The <br />analyses reported herein reflect flooding potentials bBlsed on <br />conditions existing in the community at the time of completion of this <br />study. Maps and flood elevations will be amended periodically to <br />reflect future changes. <br /> <br />3.1 Hydrologic Analyses <br /> <br />Hydrologic analyses were carried out to establish the peak <br />discharge-frequency relationships for each flooding source studied <br />in detail affecting the geographic area of Arapahoe County. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Recorded flood information for the majority of the streams studied <br />by detailed methods within Arapahoe County is nonexistent. Good <br />records do exist for the South Platte River and Cherry Creek. Due <br />to the construction of Chatfield Dam, the recorded inform.:ltion on <br />the South Platte River is not applicable. As a result, <br />synthetically derived hydrographs were computed to dt~termine <br />potential flood magnitudes for those streams with relatively small <br />drainage basins in the Denver metropolitan area. These hydrographs <br />reflect the effects of precipitation, ground cover, slope, drainage <br />area, and other physical characteristics of the drainage basins. <br />The synthetic hydrograph method was used on Big Dry Creek, Piney <br />Creek, Cottonwood Creek, Murphy Creek, Cherry Creek, and South <br />Platte River. Where available, hydrologic data were compared with <br />other studies completed in the area (References 30, 34, and 35). <br /> <br />For the large drainage basins to the east of <br />metropolitan area, flood magnitudes for the selected <br /> <br />the Denver <br />frequencies <br /> <br />11 <br />