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Last modified
4/17/2013 9:38:02 AM
Creation date
5/27/2008 11:42:45 AM
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Decision Support Systems
Title
SPDSS Task 71 - Estimate Historical Acreage
Description
This memorandum presents the general approach and results from the completion of the following: Determine an appropriate method for using agricultural statistics, water rights, water availability, and other data to estimate historic irrigated acreage and crop types by ditch or other water source for the entire SPDSS study period (e.g. time periods before and between GIS irrigated acreage coverages).
Decision Support - Doc Type
Task Memorandum
Date
3/21/2007
DSS Category
Consumptive Use
DSS
South Platte
Basin
South Platte
Contract/PO #
C153954
Grant Type
Non-Reimbursable
Bill Number
SB01-157, HB02-1152, SB03-110, HB04-1221, SB05-084, HB06-1313, SB07-122
Prepared By
Leonard Rice Engineering
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SPDSS_Task71_EstimateHistoricalAcreage
Last modified:
4/17/2013 9:38:02 AM
Path:
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Comments:
2007 Revision
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Figure 8. Irrigated Acres by Crop Type -Adams County <br />Adams County Crop Type Comparison <br />30000 <br />25000 <br />20000 <br />15000 <br />10000 <br />5000 <br />^~~ ^~~ ^~~ ^~~ ^~~ ^~~ ^~~ ^~~^ ^~~~ ^~~ ^~~ ^~~' ^~~' ^~~ ^~~ ^~dP ^~~ tied` ~oc9` <br />Ag Stat Corn Ag Stat Grains Ag Stat Alfalfa <br />Ag Stat Beans Ag Stat Sugarbeets Ag Stat Pasture <br />~ GIS Corn • GIS Grains GIS Alfalfa <br />GIS Beans ~ GIS Sugarbeets + GIS Pasture <br />Approach and Results -GIS Irrigated Acreage Coverages <br />In order to determine how AgStats could be used to estimate acreage for years with no <br />GIS coverages, trends in the GIS irrigated acreage were compared to the changes and <br />trends in the AgStats. As noted above, GIS irrigated acreage coverages were provided for <br />1956, 1976, 1987, and 2001. Coverages from 1976, 1987, and 2001 contained <br />information on crop type and irrigated acres. The 1956 coverage originally only <br />contained information on irrigated acres. <br />Some ditches span several counties. Therefore, two techniques were used to assign the <br />GIS irrigated acreage to a county4. "GIS by Ditch" assigned the ditch to the county that <br />contained the majority of the irrigated acreage under that ditch. "GIS by Location" <br />assigned irrigated acreages to a county based on the spatial location of the irrigated parcel <br />of land, in which case parts of ditches may be represented in more than one county. <br />Figures 1 through 8 also contain information on the four GIS irrigated acreage coverages. <br />GIS coverages indicate that basin-wide, irrigated acreage remained relatively constant at <br />around 1 million acres from 1956 to 1987 (Figure 1) and that between 1987 and 2001, <br />irrigated acres dropped to around 910,000 acres. <br />Figures 1 through 4 and Table 1 also indicate that GIS estimates of total irrigated acres at <br />both the basin and county levels are significantly less than AgStat estimates of irrigated <br />acres. Figures 5 through 8 provide an opportunity to take a closer look at changes in crop <br />type over time. These figures suggest that the largest discrepancy between the GIS <br />coverages and AgStats occurs in estimates of irrigated acres of corn. <br />AgStat and GIS estimates of acres of beans, grains, sugar beets, alfalfa and pasture are <br />relatively consistent. Note that although most crops have both "irrigated" and "non- <br />a According to AgStats, there is an attempt to have large users split their acreage up by county, however, it <br />is recognized that most users report their acreage under one county regardless. <br />Page 5 of 11 <br />
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