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<br />- 4 - <br /> <br /> <br />. The Pacific storm track is still very <br />active. There will be five days of cooler <br />stormy wet weather. <br />. The graphic is the Henz's weather <br />wheel and it shows a yellow line that is <br />40 degrees north. The blue line is the <br />average height of the storm track. <br />. Henz sees three stormy periods directed <br />right at us with the hot dry period <br />coming in August. <br />. There will be more storms than <br />average, cooler than average, with the <br />opportunity for precipitation will be <br />significant. <br />. Warming of the atmosphere will slow <br />the storms but sometimes when this <br />happens there is the invigoration of the monsoon season. <br />. We should always look at Tucson, Arizona to see what will develop in Colorado for monsoon <br />seasons and it looks good for monsoons. We have heard that it is going to be an extremely active <br />hurricane season this year and those two predictions are at odd with each other. <br />. When EI Nino is above average it holds down the monsoon season. <br />. The stormy periods will hit us then <br />break near the fourth of July. <br />. Henz predicts that EI Nino will <br />rebound into a moderate year EI Nino <br />year this next winter. <br />. July IS_20th monsoon activity makes <br />it way up here from Arizona. <br />. Forecasting monsoons is difficult and <br />there are two types of monsoons, one <br />from Arizona and the second type <br />comes from east Texas and <br />Oklahoma. We will have an average <br />monsoon is southwestern Colorado. <br />. This year the monsoon will be <br />coming from southeast and not so <br />much from southwest. <br />. June 20-july 10 will be key periods for fire danger, but particularly in the YampalWhite and <br />North Platte basins. <br /> <br /> <br />DWR - Statewide Water Supply Index Report - Keith Van der Horst <br />. The Division of Water Resources post the SWSI report on the web at <br />http://water.state.co.us/pubs/swsi. asp <br />. Typically peak run off occur in June but this year they occurred in May. Some were in June <br />but most were in May <br />. Tracking below normal at the South Platte River gage at Kersey at 57% oflong term average. <br /> <br />Flood Protection . Water Project Planning and Finance. Stream and Lake Protection <br />Water Supply Protection. Conservation Planning <br />