<br />This was later modified to include only the southeastern
<br />limb of the original area,; in which ecology study
<br />areas I, 2, 3, and 4 are located. This automatically
<br />excluded that portion of the area containing human
<br />habitations, principally the towns of Silverton, Tellu-
<br />ride,and Ouray.
<br />
<br />Simultaneously with the progress in cloud-seeding
<br />technology there occurred the rapid growth of the
<br />North American environmental ethic, and "ecology" be-
<br />came a household word. Cooper and Jolly (1969) prepared
<br />for the Bureau of Reclamation a general report on the
<br />possible ecological effects of weather modification.
<br />They recommended that all weather modification experi-
<br />ments and operational proje~ts be accompanied by
<br />studies of their possible ecological impacts. Con-
<br />sequently the Bureau asked Colorado State University,
<br />in concert with the Institute of Arctic and Alpine
<br />Research (INSTAAR) of the University of Colorado, and
<br />Fort Lewis College, to present a problem analysis and
<br />study plan for evaluation of the potential ecological
<br />impact of snowpack augmentation in the San Juan Moun-
<br />tains (Teller et al. 1970).' A Steering Committee of
<br />six, composed of representatives from the three
<br />institutions, was established to oversee the develop-
<br />ment of the project design" although contributions were
<br />obtained from a large number of individual scientists.
<br />The Steering Committee realized very early that major
<br />scientific and organizational problems would need to
<br />be overcome if a project of this magnitude and com-
<br />plexity were to be successful. The large number and
<br />diversity of the San Juan M~untain ecosystems, the
<br />great variability of precipitation both from place to
<br />place and year to year, the, ecological plasticity of
<br />many species, and the ability of organisms to adjust
<br />to environmental changes in'mountain areas, were all
<br />important considerations.
<br />
<br />Logistical considerations, both in terms of the exis-
<br />tence of the two major groupings of potential partic-
<br />ipants in separate/institutions, and fieldwork organ-
<br />ization in a complex mountain system, led to the prag-
<br />matic decision to break do~ the major study objective
<br />along broad ecosystem-type divisions rather than by
<br />ecosystem components such as producers, consumers,
<br />decomposers, and abiotic fa~tors. Thus four groups of
<br />research proposals were ori~inally solicited with
<br />agreement that Colorado State University would be
<br />primarily, although net exc+usively, responsible for
<br />production of forest and aquatic ecosystems proposals
<br />while INSTAAR would hold primary responsibility for
<br />producing tundra ecosystem and paleoecological pro-
<br />posals.
<br />
<br />To facilitate the usefulness of these research proposals
<br />a series of guidelines were: laid down by the Steering
<br />Committee. First, it was considered beyond the man-
<br />power and estimated financial limits to undertake any
<br />full-scale ecosystem research endeavor; thus emphasis
<br />was to be placred upon identification of a series of
<br />specific research projects that collectively would
<br />help elucidate the effects qf artificially increased
<br />snowpack on the ecologically related resources of the
<br />San Juan Mountains in terms:of their economic and/or
<br />public interest. Further, it was stipulated that,
<br />since cloud seeding would begin simultaneously with
<br />any proposed ecological research, a classical before-
<br />and-after approach would not be possible. Next, a
<br />treated versus control type:of methodology was rejected
<br />because no area with an envtronment sufficiently
<br />similar to the San Juan Mountains could be identified
<br />with confidence to serve as'the control area. This
<br />problem was the more intrac~able because of the
<br />scarcity of ecological information on the San Juan
<br />Mountains themselves. All qf these guidelines led to
<br />
<br />the conclusion that "the most likely chance of success
<br />would be derived from developing a series of "process
<br />studies" whereby the relations between snow and in-
<br />dividual ecosystem components be evaluated. Thus the
<br />focus of attention would be placed on assessment of
<br />how the characteristics of each selected ecosystem
<br />component changed with varying snowpack regardless of
<br />whether or not, or to what degree, cloud seeding
<br />proved successful. This carried the implication that
<br />an initial cloud-seeding pilot project of four-years'
<br />duration would not likely show detectable impacts so
<br />that any actual attempt to measure ecological responses
<br />directly would not be appropriate. The need for an
<br />ecological overview was recognized as a means of
<br />yielding a baseline description of the area under
<br />study.
<br />
<br />The types of study identified above could probably be
<br />undertaken anywhere in the Rocky Mountains where
<br />mountain slopes extended above tree-line, and still
<br />yield answers relating to the ecological impacts of
<br />snowpack augmentation. Nevertheless, since the effect
<br />of snow, as one ecosystem component, varies with all
<br />other components, such as temperature, soil, geological
<br />structure, topography, and associated plants and ani-
<br />mals, there was a unanimous resolve that actual field
<br />investigations in the San Juan Mountains themselves
<br />would form the core of any research program. The
<br />principles discovered there will undoubtedly be
<br />applicable to other areas, to the extent that each
<br />investigator is able to account for environmental
<br />variables and in relation to the degree of similarity
<br />between another area and the San Juan Mountains.
<br />Furthermore, proven methodologies could be modified
<br />and applied elsewhere and the record of our false
<br />starts used to improve future research designs.
<br />
<br />Changes due to bng-continued increases in snowfall
<br />were assumed to be primarily long-term changes in the
<br />species composition of the different ecosystems.
<br />Since such changes would likely appear only after many
<br />years of cloud seeding, a measure of current community
<br />structure (i.e. phytosociology) would effectively
<br />show pre-seeding conditions. For further discussions
<br />of this rationale see Chapter II.
<br />
<br />To return to the organizational and project design
<br />process, it should be noted that likely effects of
<br />increased snowfall were discussed as part of Phase I,
<br />in light of the Cooper and Jolly (1969) assessment
<br />and our collective ecological experience, and potential
<br />project proposals were solicited throughmost of
<br />Colorado. The technical quality of the proposals were
<br />initially reviewed by each of the two institutional
<br />groupings, then by the tri-institutional Steering
<br />Committee, and finally by the latter group in confer-
<br />ence with three consultants. The constraint of a
<br />broadly estimated annual budget was imposed, and a
<br />group of 29 project proposals were selected that met
<br />the following criteria: (1) Important to overall
<br />objectives, as shown by our analysis system (2) A
<br />good research plan and scientist qualified and avail-
<br />able to conduct the proposed study; and (3) Fiscally
<br />compatible.
<br />
<br />The resultant list of project proposals was submitted
<br />to the Bureau of Reclamation who, along with its own
<br />ecological consultants, completed a "final review.
<br />The set of proposals that survived this screening
<br />process is represented in the reports of Chapter IV.
<br />The projects and administrative organization are
<br />indicated in Figure 2. It should be pointed out,
<br />however, that virtually half of the proposals submitted
<br />to the Bureau of Reclamation did not survive the
<br />screening process, and most significantly, the aquatic
<br />
<br />3
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