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<br />This was later modified to include only the southeastern <br />limb of the original area,; in which ecology study <br />areas I, 2, 3, and 4 are located. This automatically <br />excluded that portion of the area containing human <br />habitations, principally the towns of Silverton, Tellu- <br />ride,and Ouray. <br /> <br />Simultaneously with the progress in cloud-seeding <br />technology there occurred the rapid growth of the <br />North American environmental ethic, and "ecology" be- <br />came a household word. Cooper and Jolly (1969) prepared <br />for the Bureau of Reclamation a general report on the <br />possible ecological effects of weather modification. <br />They recommended that all weather modification experi- <br />ments and operational proje~ts be accompanied by <br />studies of their possible ecological impacts. Con- <br />sequently the Bureau asked Colorado State University, <br />in concert with the Institute of Arctic and Alpine <br />Research (INSTAAR) of the University of Colorado, and <br />Fort Lewis College, to present a problem analysis and <br />study plan for evaluation of the potential ecological <br />impact of snowpack augmentation in the San Juan Moun- <br />tains (Teller et al. 1970).' A Steering Committee of <br />six, composed of representatives from the three <br />institutions, was established to oversee the develop- <br />ment of the project design" although contributions were <br />obtained from a large number of individual scientists. <br />The Steering Committee realized very early that major <br />scientific and organizational problems would need to <br />be overcome if a project of this magnitude and com- <br />plexity were to be successful. The large number and <br />diversity of the San Juan M~untain ecosystems, the <br />great variability of precipitation both from place to <br />place and year to year, the, ecological plasticity of <br />many species, and the ability of organisms to adjust <br />to environmental changes in'mountain areas, were all <br />important considerations. <br /> <br />Logistical considerations, both in terms of the exis- <br />tence of the two major groupings of potential partic- <br />ipants in separate/institutions, and fieldwork organ- <br />ization in a complex mountain system, led to the prag- <br />matic decision to break do~ the major study objective <br />along broad ecosystem-type divisions rather than by <br />ecosystem components such as producers, consumers, <br />decomposers, and abiotic fa~tors. Thus four groups of <br />research proposals were ori~inally solicited with <br />agreement that Colorado State University would be <br />primarily, although net exc+usively, responsible for <br />production of forest and aquatic ecosystems proposals <br />while INSTAAR would hold primary responsibility for <br />producing tundra ecosystem and paleoecological pro- <br />posals. <br /> <br />To facilitate the usefulness of these research proposals <br />a series of guidelines were: laid down by the Steering <br />Committee. First, it was considered beyond the man- <br />power and estimated financial limits to undertake any <br />full-scale ecosystem research endeavor; thus emphasis <br />was to be placred upon identification of a series of <br />specific research projects that collectively would <br />help elucidate the effects qf artificially increased <br />snowpack on the ecologically related resources of the <br />San Juan Mountains in terms:of their economic and/or <br />public interest. Further, it was stipulated that, <br />since cloud seeding would begin simultaneously with <br />any proposed ecological research, a classical before- <br />and-after approach would not be possible. Next, a <br />treated versus control type:of methodology was rejected <br />because no area with an envtronment sufficiently <br />similar to the San Juan Mountains could be identified <br />with confidence to serve as'the control area. This <br />problem was the more intrac~able because of the <br />scarcity of ecological information on the San Juan <br />Mountains themselves. All qf these guidelines led to <br /> <br />the conclusion that "the most likely chance of success <br />would be derived from developing a series of "process <br />studies" whereby the relations between snow and in- <br />dividual ecosystem components be evaluated. Thus the <br />focus of attention would be placed on assessment of <br />how the characteristics of each selected ecosystem <br />component changed with varying snowpack regardless of <br />whether or not, or to what degree, cloud seeding <br />proved successful. This carried the implication that <br />an initial cloud-seeding pilot project of four-years' <br />duration would not likely show detectable impacts so <br />that any actual attempt to measure ecological responses <br />directly would not be appropriate. The need for an <br />ecological overview was recognized as a means of <br />yielding a baseline description of the area under <br />study. <br /> <br />The types of study identified above could probably be <br />undertaken anywhere in the Rocky Mountains where <br />mountain slopes extended above tree-line, and still <br />yield answers relating to the ecological impacts of <br />snowpack augmentation. Nevertheless, since the effect <br />of snow, as one ecosystem component, varies with all <br />other components, such as temperature, soil, geological <br />structure, topography, and associated plants and ani- <br />mals, there was a unanimous resolve that actual field <br />investigations in the San Juan Mountains themselves <br />would form the core of any research program. The <br />principles discovered there will undoubtedly be <br />applicable to other areas, to the extent that each <br />investigator is able to account for environmental <br />variables and in relation to the degree of similarity <br />between another area and the San Juan Mountains. <br />Furthermore, proven methodologies could be modified <br />and applied elsewhere and the record of our false <br />starts used to improve future research designs. <br /> <br />Changes due to bng-continued increases in snowfall <br />were assumed to be primarily long-term changes in the <br />species composition of the different ecosystems. <br />Since such changes would likely appear only after many <br />years of cloud seeding, a measure of current community <br />structure (i.e. phytosociology) would effectively <br />show pre-seeding conditions. For further discussions <br />of this rationale see Chapter II. <br /> <br />To return to the organizational and project design <br />process, it should be noted that likely effects of <br />increased snowfall were discussed as part of Phase I, <br />in light of the Cooper and Jolly (1969) assessment <br />and our collective ecological experience, and potential <br />project proposals were solicited throughmost of <br />Colorado. The technical quality of the proposals were <br />initially reviewed by each of the two institutional <br />groupings, then by the tri-institutional Steering <br />Committee, and finally by the latter group in confer- <br />ence with three consultants. The constraint of a <br />broadly estimated annual budget was imposed, and a <br />group of 29 project proposals were selected that met <br />the following criteria: (1) Important to overall <br />objectives, as shown by our analysis system (2) A <br />good research plan and scientist qualified and avail- <br />able to conduct the proposed study; and (3) Fiscally <br />compatible. <br /> <br />The resultant list of project proposals was submitted <br />to the Bureau of Reclamation who, along with its own <br />ecological consultants, completed a "final review. <br />The set of proposals that survived this screening <br />process is represented in the reports of Chapter IV. <br />The projects and administrative organization are <br />indicated in Figure 2. It should be pointed out, <br />however, that virtually half of the proposals submitted <br />to the Bureau of Reclamation did not survive the <br />screening process, and most significantly, the aquatic <br /> <br />3 <br />