Laserfiche WebLink
<br />about 30 percent more power in similar simulations over the 46-year period, supporting the <br />Hydraulique model estimates. Annual average reservoir storage increased 60 and 100 millions <br />of cubic meters (M m3) above the normal for the 5-and to-percent augmented flows in <br />simulations performed. This resulted in irrigation water diversion increases of 28.5 and <br />53.0 M m3. Domestic water demands were largely fully met without the enhancements from <br />seeding; howe\'er, simulations indicated an average annual increased delivery of 2.5 and <br />4.6 M m3 for the respective 5- and to-percent increases. <br /> <br />Economic analysis of the hydrologic impacts and project costs and benefits indicates that the <br />benefits from cloud seeding will most likely exceed the costs. Initial hydrologic river model <br />simulations indicate that augmented hydroelectric power, irrigation water, and municipal and <br />industrial water will provide a benefit-to-cost ratio greater than 1.0 as a result of seeding. Note <br />that benefit-to-cost estimates were based on a sensitivity analysis using a range of values for <br />water, agricultural products, and hydroelectric power, which are difficult to establish without <br />a comprehensive evaluation of any subsidies. The available data used in this economic analysis <br />were incomplete: therefore, additional studies are needed to provide a better range of <br />estimates of benefit-to-cost ratios. <br /> <br />Lessons Learned <br /> <br />A number of useful lessons were learned during the past 5 years which may benefit future projects. <br />Noteworthy were the following items: <br /> <br />Management <br /> <br />. A National Steering Committee (NSC) which coordinated interagency activities and <br />expedited installation and construction of facilities was very helpful for project <br />coordination among agencies and throughout the country. <br /> <br />. A Project Steering Committee (PSC) which coordinated project activities and made <br />critical decisions with direct USAID and Resident Scientific Advisor (RSA) input was <br />found to be very effective in managing the project. <br /> <br />. American project implementation would have been more efficient with an implementation <br />team of three resident experts in electronics, weather modification operations, and <br />scientific project management. In future projects, such a team should be provided and <br />the electronics and operations experts should reside in the host country during the first <br />6 to 12 months. <br /> <br />. A complete scientific operations plan and set of position descriptions and specific work <br />plans for all personnel should be prepared at the beginning of any future projects for <br />personnel management and scientific guidance. <br /> <br />. A complete staff should be assigned at the outset of each project, and personnel assigned <br />to a project should remain with it throughout its existence. <br /> <br />. The data management position is a critical scientific position for scientific data collection, <br />quality control. and archival. This position should be filled at the beginning of projects <br /> <br />IX <br />