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<br />~ <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />The combined effect of water surpl us and temperature stress was ~xamined <br />for Oklahoma City and Concordia. When no-temperature-stress yields were <br />correlated with total precipitation with the water surplus subtrhcted out, <br />the coefficients increased from 0.26 to 0.42 (significant at thel5-percent <br />level) at Oklahoma City and from 0.37 to 0.70 (significant at the I-percent <br />level) at Concordia. I <br /> <br />We ascribe the poor statistical relationship between total preci~itation <br />I <br />amount and yi el d at Concordi a primarily to the effect of temperature stress. <br />At Oklahoma City, the poor relationship appears to be caused pri~arily by the <br />water surplus. Although Goodland experienced both temperature stress and <br />water surplus, its mean precipitation was lower and its mean wat~r stress <br />greater than those of the two easternmost sites, allowing its yi~ld to <br />respond more positively to precipitation amount. Neither Lubboc~ nor <br />San Angelo had water surplus, and temperature stress was negligHlle at both <br />sites. Thus, the relationship's between precipitation amount andlyield were <br />the strongest of the five sites. I <br /> <br />Precipitation Enhancement Scenarios. Analyses of the precipitat10n enhance- <br />ment scenarios show the strong relationship between yield and total preClpl- <br />tation. The analyses also show that the increase in yield is related to the <br />increase in precipitation. Table 4 presents the means of the normalized <br />values of yield and precipitation for 11 of the scenarios descri~ed in a <br />previous section.~/ Figure 5 presents the same information graPticallY. <br /> <br />Scenario 7B, which increases precipitation for most natural events and <br />induces precipitation on one-third of the days with a trace, proVides the <br />I <br />most additional precipitation and results in the greatest yield increases at <br />all five sites. Scenario 7A (which differs from 78 only in the amount of <br />rain induced on trace days) is second highest for both precipita1:ion and <br />yield increases at the five sites. Scenario 3A, which increaseslonly the <br />larger natural precipitation events by 10 percent, provides the least addi.. <br />tional precipitation and the lowest yield increases of the 11 scknarios; none <br />of the yi e 1 d i ncre ases exceed 5 percent. I <br /> <br />More scenar ios were effect ive at Good 1 and and Lubbock than at the other three <br />sites. Goodland tends to have more natural precipitation eventsland more <br />days with trace amounts. This suggests that, for many scenarios, Goodland <br />receives more additional precipitation, which, in turn, leads tola greater <br />increase in yield. Sandy soil and the low initial soil water combine to <br />allow Lubbock to respond positively to even small increments of wrecipita- <br />tion. It is the only site at which, for several scenarios, the p,ercentage <br />increase in yield exceeds the percentage increase in precipitati~n. There is <br />no evidence suggesting that the timing of precipitation at Lubbod:k is more <br />favorable than at the other sites. <br /> <br />I <br />2/ Four scenarios are not included in the discussion. ScenariosllA and 4A <br />provided little additional precipitation, and the yield increases were wen <br />below 6 percent. Scenario 5C showed essentially the same results as <br />Scenario 58. Scenario 9 provided little additional yield (excepi at Lubbock), <br />and the mean normalized values were nearly the same as those for Scenario 3B. <br />All 15 scenarios are included in Appendix B. <br /> <br />15 <br />