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<br /> <br />and Streamflow <br /> <br />Snowpack, Runoff, <br /> <br />THE Upper Colorado River Basin covers about 109,500 square <br />miles, but only some of the area is suitable for WOSA. In gen- <br />eral, suitable areas are those with heavy natural snowfall. We <br />have seen that the effectiveness of WOSA can be expressed as a <br />constant proportion of the natural snowfall-about 20-25 % . <br />The natural snowfall increases with elevation. <br /> <br />Areas Suitable for WOSA <br /> <br />As a practical matter the areas where WOSA is effective are the <br />elevations above 9,000 feet. In an average winter, precipitation <br />will exceed 10-15 inches water equivalent at 9,000 feet or <br />above, and WOSA would add at least 2 inches water equivalent <br />at or above that level. The most suitable areas for WOSA are <br />the mountain ranges that form the western and eastern bound- <br />aries of the Upper Basin. The western ranges are generally <br />lower, less rugged, and not as extensive as the eastern ranges <br />that form the Continental Divide. These mountain boundaries <br />outline the river basin watershed, where water from snowmelt <br />or rain flows through a system of tributary streams to one cen- <br />tral river (see Figure 5) . <br />The mountain ranges that outline the region are not con- <br />tinuous. They are oriented in different directions and they have <br />(jifferent elevations and other surface features. They are spread <br />out over such a great distance that each can experience unique <br />weather conditions as a storm moves through the region. The <br /> <br />21 <br /> <br />SNOWPACK, CLOUD-SEEDING, AND THE COLORADO RIVER <br /> <br />the storms pass over the high mountains on their eastward <br />journey. Once the air is lifted to a high elevation and has lost <br />considerable moisture, it will not produce further precipitation <br />by the same processes unless it is again lifted to the same eleva- <br />tion or higher. The Colorado Rockies are among the highest <br />ranges encountered by the air in its eastward passage. After <br />passing over the Rockies, the air descends over the plains and <br />dries out as it warms up. It is highly unlikely that this dried air <br />could produce precipitation over the plains, whether seeding <br />had occurred over the mountains or not. The primary moisture <br />source for winter precipitation over the prairie states is the rela- <br />tively warm air that flows in from the Gulf of Mexico under <br />favorable conditions. Because of the different natural sources of <br />moisture for snow over the Colorado River Basin and over the <br />prairies, cloud-seeding over the mountains will not measurably <br />reduce the snowfall over the plains. <br />Weather modification investigators have found that silver <br />iodide and the ice crystals that it produces can travel several <br />hundred miles downwind on the air currents. These materials <br />could seed storms that happened to be over the plains, and cause <br />these storms to drop much more precipitation than they would <br />under natural conditions. If this happened to a storm over <br />Denver, the resulting heavy snowfall would cause serious and <br />widespread inconvenience. Undesirable downwind cloud-seed- <br />ing could be minimized if the silver iodide generators were <br />turned off when favorable conditions in the mountains ended. <br />During most of the time that seeding is effective over the moun- <br />tains, conditions over the plains are unfavorable for seeding, <br />with good weather conditions there. <br />, Mountainous areas that are up to 150 miles downwind <br />from a target area will also be affected by seeding. For example, <br />seeding in the San Juan Mountains during southwest winds <br />probably affects the snowfall over the Sawatch range. With west- <br />southwest winds, seeding the San Juans will produce additional <br />snow over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains (see Figure 4). <br /> <br />~: <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />~: <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />20 <br /> <br />i <br />\; <br />.\'.\(1\' <br />_Ih <br />. <br />" <br /> <br />"'i <br />{.i,! <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />! <br />