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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:40:55 PM
Creation date
4/24/2008 2:56:12 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Snow Accumulation Algorithm for the WSR-80D Radar: Final Report
Date
7/1/1998
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />by 0.1 over sufficiently wide ranges to "capture" the "best" combination of ex and p. In this approach that <br />best combination was presumed to be the one with the smallest absolute difference between the hourly <br />means regardless of the CTF value. In practice it turned out that this difference was usually very near <br />zero, not greater than 0.001 inches, and sometimes less than 0.0001 inches of hourly S accumulation. In <br />effect, this alt~rnative approach also resulted in equality of the means for all practical purposes. <br />Therefore, the main difference between the two approaches is that the alternative approach did not <br />require a minimum value of CTF in equation (7). <br /> <br />Values shown by regular font in table 3 are from the primary optimization approach using equation: (7). <br />Bold fonts in shaded cells depict results from the alternative approach just described. Values of ex <br />corresponding to p=2.0 from the equation (7) optimization approach are also listed for all locations as a <br />further basis of comparison. <br /> <br />6.5 Limited f3 Variation <br /> <br />The smallest p value in table 3 is 1.8. Values greater than 2.5 were not permitted as they are considered <br />unrealistic from all previously published evidence and from our own. Only 2 of the 24 values in table 3 <br />were as large as 2.5 and they resulted from the alternative optimization approach. The median value of <br />the 24 p values of table 3 is 2.25 using both approaches. However, the median was 2.0 for the 10 gages <br />and least-range Albany snow board group that provided reasonable CTF minimums by equation (7). <br />These are considered the most reliable estimates. Moreover, as shown in table 4 for grouped <br />observations, the primary optimization scheme provided a median p value of2.1, ignoring the limited <br />range and hours of S accumulation data from Minnesota. <br /> <br />A means of using storm totals to estimate "best fit" Ze-S relations, using the alternative approach <br />discussed above, was recently developed for another project. It was applied to Minnesota gages 1 ~md 2 <br />of table 2 using their hourly data to define storm total periods. The resulting ex and p was 190 and 1.8 <br />determined by the least difference between mean gage and mean radar storm totals. Using the minimum <br />CTF of equation (7) to choose the "best" pair resulted in ex = 230 and p = 2.0. So even with the limited <br />snowfall rates of Minnesota this new approach indicates a p near 2.0 is most appropriate. The ex values <br />by this approach are similar to that found with the primary optimization scheme applied to Minnesota <br />hourly data for P = 2.0 (see table 4 or 5). <br /> <br />Based on the evidence presented from this and previous work, it is believed there is little reason to lllse <br />anything but P = 2.0 for the 5 data sets under discussion. As discussed by Smith and Joss (1997) for rain, <br />a change in the P exponent of:l: 0.2 has little practical significance. A most likely "middle" value can be <br />used as a fixed exponent (they suggest 1.5 for rain). The important challenge is then to select an <br />appropriate ex coefficient for particular conditions. Use of equation (3) reveals that for a typical ex of 150, <br />and typical Ze values during snowfall in the 10 to 20 dBZ range, a difference of:l: 0.2 from (3 = 2.0 <br />changes S only by 0.001 inch h-l. <br /> <br />6.6 Range Dependence in a <br /> <br />Figure 5 shows the ex values of table 3, all for P = 2.0, plotted as functions of range from each ofthe: <br />5 radars. The lowest beam tilt of 0.5 deg was used with the 4 exceptions previously noted. The <br />approximately linear fit to each data set is remarkable when all the sources of variance in the data sets are <br />considered. While the KGJX gages are not totally compatible, all having been related to 2.4 deg rather <br />than 0.5 deg Ze data, even they show a decrease in ex over the limited range of 6-21 km. Slope is se(m to <br /> <br />27 <br />
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