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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:40:53 PM
Creation date
4/24/2008 2:55:57 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Snow Accumulation Algorithm for the WSR-80D Radar: Second Annual Report
Date
6/1/1997
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />Table 2. - R values between hourly SWE from gage measurements and radar estimates from array averages (column <br />6) and single range bins (column 7), and R values between array average and single bin SWE estimates (column 8). <br /> <br /> Gage versus Radar <br /> R Values <br /> Bins Array Average <br /> In Array Single versus <br />Site Gage Range Array Hours Average Bins Single Bins <br />CLE 1 36 15 143 0.73 0.68 to 0.73 0.95 to 0.99 <br />CLE 2 61 9 235 0.80 0.76 to 0.81 0.95 to 0.99 <br />CLE 3 87 9 187 0.68 0.64 to 0.67 0.95 to 0.99 <br />DEN 1 25 21 65 0.80 0.75 to 0.81 0.95 to 0.99 <br />DEN 2 24 27 48 0.71 0.60 to 0.73 0.95 to 0.99 <br />DEN 3 49 15 83 0.79 0.75 to 0.78 0.95 to 0.99 <br /> <br />The R values were examined for the central bin in each of the 6 arrays, located directly over each gage. <br />These "nearest neighbor" bins had R values ranging between 0.989 and 0.993, so they explained between <br />98 and 99 percent of the array average variances. Based on this result alone, it can be argued that there <br />is little point in using array averages instead of just the nearest neighbor range bin for snowfall estimation. <br />Use of the nearest neighbor has the further advantage of minimizing the spatial averaging problem <br />discussed in section 3.2. <br /> <br />Further evidence indicating that the nearest neighbor range bin provides almost the same results as the <br />9-km2 or larger arrays is provided in table 3. The table shows that both radar-estimated average snowfall <br />accumulations and the standard errors of estimate are quite similar for the arrays and nearest neighbor <br />with the possible exception of Denver gage 3, which has the greatest difference between radar-estimated <br />average snow accumulations. The individual bin values were plotted for this gage, and it was discovered <br />that the four bins making up the northeast comer of the 3-km by 5-degree array had markedly greater <br />average snowfall accumulations (average = 0.0276 inch) than the other 11 bins (average = 0.0182 inch). <br />Examination of the terrain suggests the four greater-value bins may be subject to ground clutter <br />contamination. But whatever the cause of the gradient, use of the nearest neighbor provided a better <br />estimate directly over the gage in this case. <br /> <br />Based on the evidence and discussion presented, it was decided to abandon use of arrays of range bins <br />for estimating snowfall accumulations. All additional work reported herein simply used the nearest <br />neighbor single range bin directly over each gage. Reasons for not using a wind advection scheme to <br />select range bins to relate to gages are discussed in section 4.2. <br /> <br />4.2 Wind Advection Scheme <br /> <br />A horizontal wind advection scheme was developed for use as part of the SAA as discussed by Super and <br />Holroyd (1996). V AD (Velocity Azimuth Display) winds were calculated for each volume scan at a <br />radius of 10 km from the radar for 305-m (lOOO-ft) intervals above the radar. The V AD winds and 4 <br />different assumed fall speeds of 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 m S-1 were used to calculate the reverse trajectories <br />of snowflakes from each range bin position on the ground. These fall speeds extend over the likely range <br />for the larger snowflakes, which provide essentially all of the radar reflectivity return, from large <br />individual flakes to graupel.. It is recognized that a fairly wide range of fall speeds may exist for larger <br /> <br />9 <br />
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