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<br />Several researchers have discussed possible future advances in radar precipitation estimation with multi <br />parameter and dual polarimetric methods. Matrosov (1998) presents evidence that use of dual- <br />wavelength radars should provide improved snowfall estimates. However, the purpose of the SAA <br />development has been to develop a practical means of Sand SD estimation with the existing WSR-88D <br />radar. Future technological improvements in the WSR-88D may permit the SAA to be improved. <br />However, the philosophy behind the SAA development has been, and will continue to be, to provide a <br />practical means of converting measurements supplied by existing WSR-88D capabilities into useful S <br />and SD estimates. It is planned to add the SAA to the standard suite of WSR-88D algorithms within the <br />next 3 years (O'Bannon, 1998), after existing computers are replaced with more powerful units capable of <br />running additional algorithms. <br /> <br />The SAA has some major limitations, caused by the physics of the situation, which will be discussed. <br />Many of these are shared with rain algorithms, especially when shallow stratiform rain exists. <br /> <br />· The SAA is designed to be limited to estimation of dry snowfall only. The complication of <br />dealing with mixed rain and snow and/or melting snow with associated "bright band" effects was <br />beyond the scope of the requested work and available resources as stated in Reclamation's <br />October 1994 proposal made part of the MOU. <br /> <br />The SAA is limited by the vertical departure of the radar beam from the surface, caused by <br />earth's curvature. The current SAA version cannot distinguish between snow reaching the <br />surface or virga at far range. Both are often detected only in the lowest beam tilt. The SAA does <br />not calculate the vertical profile of snowfall which could be used for range correction. However, <br />the option exists to apply a correction as a function of range. Additional study will be required <br />to provide appropriate range correction equation constants for various regions or individual <br />radars. <br /> <br />· The SAA is limited by the ever changing relationship, in space and time, between what a radar <br />measures ("reflectivity") and falling snow particles. A radar does not measure precipitation but <br />reflectivity which can be related to precipitation. Since the relationship between reflectivity and <br />snowfall is ever changing in time and space as snow particle characteristics (Ohtake and Henmi, <br />1970) and other factors change, a practical average relation must be sought that provides <br />adequate S estimates most of the time. Moreover, the radar is not directly measuring what is <br />happening at ground level beneath each radar bin. Rather, because of earth's curvature, the radar <br />beam scans at ever increasing altitudes as the range (distance) from the radar increases. Because <br />snow particles typically continue to grow as they fall to the surface, scanning well above the <br />surface measures weak reflectivities compared with near-surface values. The result is the <br />relationship between Ze' as measured by the radar, and S, observed at the surface, also changes <br />with range. Consequently, a radar will tend to underestimate S at moderate to far ranges unless a <br />range correction scheme is employed. It should be understood that a radar can provide only <br />estimates of snowfall because of these and other complexities to be discussed. However, it will <br />be shown that useful estimates can be provided. Moreover, a radar offers the important <br />advantage of frequent sampling of large spatially-continuous regions, impractical to achieve with <br />surface instrumentation. <br /> <br />The present version of the SAA provides useful products, but the SAA can and should be improved upon. <br />The primary improvement would be to deal with known underestimation at increasing range. <br />Reclamation submitted a proposal to the OSF at their request during January 1997 to pursue a solution to <br />this serious problem. However, the proposed work was not funded. Apparently, the need for a range <br /> <br />2 <br />