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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:40:49 PM
Creation date
4/24/2008 2:55:41 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Weather Modification
Project Name
Project Skywater
Title
Project Skywater - Generalized Criteria for Seeding Winter Orographic Clouds - Summary Report
Date
3/1/1977
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />SUMMARY REPORT <br />GENERALIZED CRITERIA FOR <br />SEEDING WINTER OROGRAPHIC CLOUDS <br /> <br />.- <br /> <br />The Bureau of ~eclamation is carrying out an analysis of data from <br />past weather modification projects to identify criteria that define <br />conditions when cloud seeding will increase winter snowfall in moun- <br />tainous terrain and when it will have no effect or decrease precipi- <br />tation. The s~udy is seeking generalized seedability criteria based <br />on physically ~eaningful and easily measurable variables. Seven proj- <br />ects that operated during the 1960ls and 70's in the Rocky Mountains, <br />the Sierra Nev~da, and Californials southern Coast Range are being <br />used in this s~udy, representing a wide range of meteorological and <br />topographic co~ditions. <br /> <br />, <br />I <br /> <br />Four variables :calculated from the mountain topography and the ver- <br />tical distribution of temperature, moisture, and wind were selected <br />for detailed arlalyses of the effects of seeding. These variables <br />are (1) the st~bility of the cloud, which is a measure of the like- <br />lihood that seeding material will reach a level in the cloud where <br />it can affect the precipitation process; (2) the saturation mixing <br />ratio at cloudQase, a measure of the amount of water available for <br />conversion to precipitation; (3) the calculated cloud top temperature, <br />a measure of tne number of natural ice nuclei available to start the <br />precipitation Rrocess; and (4) the calculated trajectory index, a <br />measure of the :time available for precipitation particles to form, <br />grow, and fall to the ground. <br /> <br />Previous research suggested that certain ranges of the individual <br />variables are ~ssociated with positive seeding effects, while other <br />ranges are associated with decreases or no effect. Many combinations <br />of ranges are possible, such as stable clouds, low water content, cold <br />cloud tops, and downwind trajectory, but attention was first given to <br />those combinaqons, or "windows," most likely to show the effects of <br />seeding. Six-hour precipitation totals for both seeded and nonseeded <br />events in each :of the windows were determined. Ratios of the average <br />seeded precipi~ation to the average nonseeded precipitation were com- <br />puted to determine the effects of seeding for each window and to com- <br />pare seeding effects among windows. <br />I <br /> <br />Results of the study thus far suggest that seeding can increase precip- <br />itation at and ;near the mountain crest under the following conditions: <br /> <br />. Stable clou4s with moderate water content, cloud top temperatures <br />between min~s 10 and minus 3Q oe, and winds such that the precipita- <br />tion particles would be expected to fall at or near the crest of the <br />mountain barrier. <br />
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