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<br />c <br /> <br />AOAPTATION OF THE RHEA OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION MOOEL TO MOROCCO <br /> <br />Ali E1Majdoub <br />Harry Orville <br />South Dakota School of Mines and Technology <br />Rapid City, South Dakota, U.S.A. <br /> <br />1. INTRODUCTION <br /> <br />After a severe drought which lasted <br />about four years (1979-1983), Moroccan and <br />US officials planned a scientific weather <br />modification program named A1ghait in an <br />attempt to increase the winter snowpack <br />over the Atlas Mountains as a part of a <br />general water resources management policy <br />(see Bensari et al., these pro- <br />ceedings; Silverman et al., 1983). <br />Cloud seeding has been done using aircraft <br />delivery systems and ground-based silver <br />iodide generators during the November to <br />April period each year since 1984. The <br />target reservoir is Ben E1 Ouidane located <br />25 km to the south-southeast of the city <br />of Beni Mel1al and 800 m above sea level. <br />A mountain ridge of approximately 1 km <br />average height above the plains is between <br />Beni Mel1a1 and the reservoir. <br /> <br />Radar and cloud physics aircraft <br />observations have been made of the clouds <br />and precipitation systems during the opera- <br />tions. Rawinsonde soundings are made <br />routinely twice a day and special soundings <br />are made every operational day. Extensive <br />snowfall and rain measurements are being <br />taken at many ground locations. <br /> <br />Forecasts of the daily weather <br />conditions are made at the main weather <br />center in Casablanca. The potential for <br />seeding effects is assessed and results <br />transmitted over the radio to the opera- <br />tions center. Various models have been <br />used in this assessment. One of them, a <br />two-dimensional, steady-state, multi-layer <br />model was developed in the 1970's by <br />J. Owen Rhea to diagnose the effects of <br />topography on winter/spring precipitation <br />in western Colorado, employing rawinsonde <br />data and a fine mesh topographic grid. We <br />believe that the Rhea model could be useful <br />as a forecast tool, and help in determining <br />the precipitation potential for the day. <br /> <br />It is well known that the terrain in <br />mountainous regions has an influence on <br />precipitation. In this paper, we will be <br />dealing with the effect of the Atlas <br />Mountain range on winter orographic pre- <br />cipitation. In the last 25 years, a number <br /> <br />J. Medina <br />U.S. Department of the Interior <br />Bureau of Reclamation <br />Denver, Colorado, U.S.A. <br /> <br />of orographic precipitation numerical <br />models have been developed, most of them <br />two-dimensional (in the X-Z plane) and <br />steady-state (e.g., Myers, 1962; Sarker, <br />1967; Willis, 1970; Fraser et al., 1973; <br />Plooster, 1974; Young, 1974; and Rhea, <br />1977). The subject of this paper is to <br />discuss the adaptation of the Rhea model <br />to Morocco. <br /> <br />2. MODEL DESCRIPTION <br /> <br />The physics of the model is based on <br />the following equation (Rhea, 1977): <br /> <br />R <br /> <br />E <br />Pwg <br /> <br />ft rP2 <br />Jo Jpl <br /> <br />w dp dt <br /> <br />(1) <br /> <br />dQs <br />dz <br /> <br />where <br /> <br />R <br /> <br />Precipitation amount [cm] <br /> <br />E <br /> <br />Precipitation efficiency <br />(proportion of the condensate <br />which precipitates) <br />(dimensionless) <br /> <br />Vertical motion (em S-I) <br /> <br />Density of water (1 g/cm3) <br /> <br />w <br /> <br />Pw <br /> <br />g <br /> <br />Gravitational acceleration <br />(cm/s2) <br /> <br />dqs <br />dz <br /> <br />J P2 dp = <br /> <br />PI <br /> <br />Specific humidity change with <br />height [cm-1] <br /> <br />Pressure depth of saturated <br />air column [g cm-1 S-2] <br /> <br />J: dt = Duration of the process [s] <br /> <br />Figure 1 shows a symbolic <br />two-dimensional flow across a barrier; <br />based on this picture, the atmospheric <br />water balance equation for one grid <br />interval (xQ, xd can be written as: <br /> <br />To be published In the proceedings of the . <br />Fifth WMO Conference on Weather Modification and Appllecl Cloud Physics <br />Beijing, China <br />