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<br />337 <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY <br /> <br />VOLUME 19 <br /> <br />TABLE 3. Multiple correlation coefficients (Mult R) for each step in the multiple regression analyses, and individual <br />correlation coefficients (R) from simple linear regression analyses. <br /> <br /> TOP.ax z",a. VOLlO VOL30 VOL40 AREAlO AREA30 ARElI.to RVOLMP RRA TEMP <br />Step "ar'iable Variable 'iariable Variable Variable Variable VaT; able Variable Variable Variable <br /> entered entered entered entered entered ent ered entered entered entered entered <br /> Hult Indiv Hult Indi. M"lt Indiv Mult Indi. Mult Indi. M"lt Indiv Mult Indiv Mult Indiv Mult Indiv M"lt Indi. <br /> R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R <br /> <br />No. of <br />cases <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />24 <br /> <br />26 <br /> <br />23 <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />26 <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />26 <br /> <br /> L1100 PW850 WSP0700 L1100 WSP0500 WSP0700 WSP0700 WSP0700 WSP0700 WSP0300 <br /> 0.66 -0.66 0.51 0.51 0.59 0.59 0.58 -0.58 0.64 0.64 0.62 0.62 0.68 0.68 0.55 0.55 0.73 0.73 0.55 0.55 <br /> LEVO WSP0700 L1100 WSP0500 HI 1sfc L1100 TTI L1100 TTI <br /> 0.77 0.52 0.56 0.31 0.76 -0.44 0.70 0.55 0.73 0.54 0.68 -0.47 0.73 -0.26 0.71 0.45 0.82 -0.35 0.69 0.50 <br /> IIDIR700 lID IR500 WSHEAR IIDIRSOO LEVO L1lOO Tsfc LEVa WSHEAR WOIR700 <br /> 0.79 -0.27 0.59 -0.28 0.78 -0.15 0.74 -0.23 0.74 0.32 0.75 -0.23 0.77 -0.39 0.74 0.27 0.82 -0.19 0.74 -0.15 <br />4 WSHEAR LEVa IIDIR500 LEVa WOIR300 WSHEAR WOIR700 WO IR850 WO IR 700 LEVa <br /> 0.81 0.31 0.61 0.23 0.78 -0.37 0.77 0.26 0.77 0.07 0.76 -0.35 0.78 -0.41 0.75 0.01 0.83 -0.52 0.79 0.34 <br /> IIllR850 LEV_20 IIllR850 WSHEAR lID IR500 WSHEAR W01R700 Tsfe WOIR850 <br /> 0..62 -0.21 0.78 -0.25 0.79 -0.04 0.78 0.05 0.77 -0.43 0.78 -0.23 0.76 -0.13 0.83 -0.31 0.80 -0.21 <br /> <br />cases by bringing in the additional three terms was <br />only 0.06 (range 0.01-0.11). <br /> <br />4. Discussion <br /> <br />With the limited number of cases studied, it is <br />impossible to draw firm conclusions from the present <br />investigation. Also, this analysis cannot be gen- <br />eralized without further testing, preferably in the <br />a priori framework. However, results of the present <br />study can at least provide evidence for deciding <br />whether or not further investigation is warranted. <br />Results are quite encouraging'. The stability in- <br />dexes and wind speed variables seem to exert rela- <br />tively strong influences on the size, intensity and <br />coverage of convective precipitation that can occur. <br />The water vapor-stability terms provide a measure <br />of the moisture available and the overturning po- <br />tential of the atmosphere. One may conjecture that <br />the upper level wind maxima are associated with the <br /> <br />....... .~ <br /> <br />....,.,~ <br /> <br />largest values of upper tropospheric divergence <br />(Newton and Palmen, 1963) which when combined <br />with other pertinent meteorological factors can re- <br />sult in large-scale convective activity. Beebe and <br />Bates (1955) hypothesized that upper tropospheric <br />divergence superimposed over low-level moisture, <br />instability and convergence produce severe weather. <br /> <br />REFERENCES <br /> <br />Beebe, R. G~, and F. C. Bates, 1955: A mechanism for assist- <br />ing in the release of convective instability. Mon. Wea. <br />Rev., 83, 1-10. <br />Galway, J. G., 1956: The Lifted Index as a predictor of latent <br />instability. Bul/. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 37, 528-529. <br />Marshall, J. S., and Wm. K. Palmer, 1948: The distribution of <br />raindrops with size. J. Meteor., 5, 165-166. <br />Newton, C. W., and E. Palmen, 1963: Kinematic and thermal <br />properties of a large-amplified wave in the westerlies. <br />Tel/us, 15, 99-119. <br />Schroeder, M. J., and G. E. Klazura, 1978: Computer process- <br />ing of digital radar data gathered during HIPLEX. J. Appl. <br />Meteor., 17, 498-507. <br />