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<br />Reprinted from JOURNAL OF ApPLIED METEOROLOGY, Vol. 17, No.1, January 1978
<br />American Meteorological Society
<br />Printed in U.S.A.
<br />
<br />The Practicability of Dry Ice for On-Top Seeding of Convective Clouds
<br />
<br />EDMOND W. HOLROYD III,1 ARLIN B. SUPERl AND BERNARD A. SILVERMAN2
<br />
<br />Bureau of Reclamation, U. S. Department of the Interior
<br />(Manuscript received 22 July 1977, in final form 23 September 1977)
<br />
<br />ABSTRACT
<br />
<br />Dry ice is shown to be an attractive agent for on-top seeding of convective clouds. A modest payload of
<br />small dry ice pellets can effectively seed dozens of clouds, depending on cloud volumes encountered and
<br />crystal concentrations desired. A dry ice pellet size of about 7 mm diameter is suggested for efficient use of
<br />seeding agent when dropped from the -lOoC level.
<br />Supercooled convective clouds that were seeded on-top with dry ice were investigated to determine em-
<br />pirical nucleation effectiveness values. The clouds were repeatedly penetrated to measure the resulting ice
<br />crystal concentrations. The experiments gave conservative effectiveness values of 2 to 5 X 1011 crystals per
<br />gram of dry ice, but with possible error bars extending an order of magnitude to each side of those values.
<br />A well-documented experiment giving effectiveness values twice as large is discussed in detail.
<br />
<br />1. Introduction
<br />
<br />This paper preSents some new estimates of the
<br />effectiveness of dry ice as a cloud seeding agent and
<br />considers the practicability of using dry ice for convec-
<br />tive cloud seeding in view of these and other estimates
<br />of its effectiveness. Dry ice-solid carbon dioxide at a
<br />temperature of about' - 80oC-was used by Schaefer
<br />(1946) in his initial experiments that started the modern
<br />era of weather modification. It was used in many
<br />cloud seeding experiments during the late 1940's and
<br />early 1950's. However, silver iodide (AgI) became a
<br />much more common seeding agent because of its higher
<br />effectiveness per unit mass and, more importantly, the
<br />logistical ease and reduced costs associated with AgI
<br />seeding near cloud base or from the ground.
<br />Schaefer (1976) has recently urged a revival in the
<br />use of dry ice in cloud seeding. The practicability of
<br />using dryice is obviously determined to a large degree
<br />by what its effectiveness actually is, i.e., the number
<br />of ice crystals resulting per gram of material used.
<br />Schaefer states that it ofl'ers economy and superior
<br />effectiveness (relative to AgI) at all temperatures
<br />below ooc. He indicates that in air at -160C and at
<br />least supersaturated with respect to water, more than
<br />1014 ice embryos can be formed per gram of dry ice.
<br />Other investigators have reported values, usually
<br />based on laboratory work, which generally range from
<br />1010 to 1011 crystals per gram (Weickmann, 1957; Eadie
<br />and Mee, 1963; Fukuta, 1965; Allee et al., 1972). The
<br />latter work was with actual clouds, but ice crystal
<br />measurements were limited. More recent laboratory
<br />
<br />I Miles City, Mont. 5930l.
<br />2 Denver, Colo. 80225.
<br />
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<br />
<br />work by Fukuta et al. (1971) indicates an effectiveness
<br />value of 8 X 1011 crystals per gram from - 2 to-11 oc.
<br />
<br />2. Dry ice seeding experiments
<br />
<br />Several experiments have recently been conducted to
<br />provide better estimates of dry ice effectiveness in
<br />actual clouds, especially summertime cumuliform
<br />clouds. These experiments,' inspired by the work of
<br />Allee et al. (1972), were conducted by one of the
<br />authors (Holroyd) while working with the Common-
<br />wealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization
<br />(CSIRO) in Australia and by all authors through the
<br />U. S. Bureau of Reclamation's High Plains Cooperative
<br />Program (HIPLEX).
<br />In all seeding experiments, the dry ice pellets were
<br />dropped out a hole in the bottom of the airplane in as
<br />continuous a fashion as practical. A ha,nd scoop of
<br />known volume was used and the number of scoops
<br />recorded. The dry ice mass data are therefore
<br />approxi,mate.
<br />
<br />a. Dry ice pellet sizes and mass
<br />
<br />The dry ice used in both the American and Australian
<br />experiments was obtained commercially in the form of
<br />cylindrical pellets. They were transported from the
<br />factory to the research site in various containers over
<br />distances on the order of 1000 km. During storage the
<br />pellets slowly sublimed. Therefore, there is a potential
<br />for size changes from the time of manufacture to the
<br />time of use in seeding.
<br />To observe any size spectrum changes during storage,
<br />a 13.5 kg sample of dry ice was placed in a cardboard
<br />box, transported for 3 h, and then kept in the box in a
<br />
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