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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:40:23 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Physical Response of Winter Orographic Clouds over the Sierra Nevada to Airborne Seeding Using Dry Ice or Silver Iodide
Date
4/4/1990
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />APRIL 1990 <br /> <br />DESHLER, REYNOLDS AND HUGGINS <br /> <br />289 <br /> <br />measurements suggesting that shallow orographic <br />clouds are suitable for seeding to increase snowfall <br />(Hobbs 1975a; Hill 1980b, 1982, 1986; Rauber and <br />Grant 1986; Reynolds and Kuciauskas 1988). <br />Leonov and Perelet ( 1967) and Leskov ( 1974) pre- <br />sented more direct measurements of effects, both in <br />cloud and at the ground, from glaciogenic seeding of <br />stratus and stratocumulus during the winter months <br />in southern Russia. Weickman ( 1974) provided direct <br />physical observations in Great Lakes supercooled <br />clouds. Hobbs (197 5b ), however, was the first to at- <br />tempt to determine the magnitude of seeding effects <br />within orographic clouds by documenting the complete <br />chain of physical processes resulting from seeding. <br />Hobbs was successful at tracking seeded precipitation <br />from cloud to ground on several occasions. On those <br />occasions the clouds were visibly glaciated at aircraft <br />altitude, and surface snowfall was observed to change <br />from graupel and other heavily rimed particles to lightly <br />rimed dendrites and stellars. Precipitation increases up <br />to 0.5 mm h -1 were observed during the predicted pe- <br />riod of effect, and precipitation was thought to be re- <br />distributed to higher elevations. Recently these types <br />of detailed physical observations have been reported <br />in other mountainous regions (Super and Heimbach <br />1988; Super and Boe 1988). <br />Research directed at obtaining physical evidence to <br />quantify the effects of seeding orographic clouds, and <br />to develop appropriate seeding technologies, has been <br />conducted in the central Sierra Nevada of California <br />since 1976 (Reynolds and Dennis 1986). Descriptions <br />of the two exploratory seeding experiments conducted <br />by the Sierra Cooperative Pilot Project (SCPP) are <br />given in Bureau of Reclamation (1983, 1985). Target <br />clouds were selected based on observations of SL W. <br />The cloud types centered on post-frontal cumulus, <br />stratus, and stratocumulus that form over the Sierra <br />Nevada. Cloud seeding was done from aircraft using <br />either dry ice, droppable pyrotechnic flares containing <br />AgI, or by burning an AgI NH41 mixture in acetone. <br />Airborne and ground-based instruments were em- <br />ployed to measure the effects of seeding. The project <br />conducted: 1) exploratory research and preliminary <br />seeding trials until 1981 ; 2) randomized seeding of post- <br />frontal convection during the winters of 1982/83 and <br />1983/84; and 3) randomized seeding of widespread <br />orographic clouds during the winters of 1984/85 <br />through 1986/87. <br />Results from the seeding experiments on postfrontal <br />convective clouds indicated that only marginal benefits <br />could be obtained (Huggins and Rodi 1985; Rodi and <br />Flueck 1986). While this experiment was being con- <br />ducted it was observed that shallow orographic clouds <br />over the central Sierra Nevada contained SL W for long <br />periods of time over a wide area. These clouds were <br />like the type Ludlam (1955) proposed to seed for <br />snowpack augmentation. To treat these clouds the sec- <br />ond randomized experiment was conducted January- <br /> <br />March 1985, January-March 1986, and November- <br />December 1986. Twenty-one experiments were com- <br />pleted during this time, including 8 deliberate seeding <br />experiments. An additional 15 similar experiments <br />were completed prior to 1985. The purpose of this pa- <br />per is to present the major findings from these exper- <br />iments by presenting the experimental design and pro- <br />cedure, by discussing individual cases yielding defini- <br />tive results, and by presenting an overview of all seeding <br />experiments. <br /> <br />2. Design of the fixed target experiment <br /> <br />The experimental concept was based on the idea <br />that the project had the technology necessary to phys- <br />ically trace the evolution of packets of seeded ice crys- <br />tals, from origin, through growth, to fallout at the sur- <br />face. The effects of seeding could thus be demonstrated <br />and the technology developed by measuring the evo- <br />lution of seeded cloud elements. Obtaining statistically <br />significant results from this experiment was not possible <br />because of the limited time available to conduct field <br />experiments and the wide natural variability of the pa- <br />rameters expected to be sensitive to seeding. <br /> <br />a. Physical structure of the candidate clouds <br /> <br />Shallow orographic clouds formed by forced ascent <br />of moist air over the Sierra Nevada were selected for <br />the experiment. Natural precipitation rates vary from <br />a trace to as much as 3-4 mm h -1. Various synoptic <br />weather patterns are conducive to generating these <br />clouds (Heggli and Reynolds 1985; Heggli and Rauber <br />1988; Reynolds and Kuciauskas 1988). The clouds <br />typically exhibit neutral stability and have been ob- <br />served to exist for 12 to over 72 hours. Cloud top tem- <br />peratures range from -80 to -150C and are rarely be- <br />low -200e. Depending on the strength of the stable <br />layer existing at cloud top, a barrier-parallel wind max- <br />imum can occur in the lowest 3 km above ground from <br />the valley up to the crest (Parish 1982). <br />Widespread, fairly continuous SL W has been ob- <br />served in these cloud types by both a cloud physics <br />aircraft and a dual-channel microwave radiometer lo- <br />cated at either Blue Canyon (1983) or Kingvale (KGV) <br />(1984, 1985, 1986). The cloud droplet spectra can be <br />either continental or maritime (Marwitz 1987). Su- <br />percooled droplets as large as 200-300 ~m in diameter <br />have been observed. Precipitation is produced by either <br />diffusional growth of ice crystals followed by accretion <br />and / or aggregation for continental cloud droplet dis- <br />tributions, or coalescence growth followed by droplet <br />freezing and perhaps ice multiplication for maritime <br />cloud droplet distributions. There is evidence suggest- <br />ing that a Hallett-Mossop ice multiplication mecha- <br />nism can develop, especially for maritime clouds with <br />mean droplet diameters >20 ~m (Mossop 1985). Al- <br />though turbulence is weak, the spreading of artificially <br />nucleated crystals is enhanced by differential growth <br />
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