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Weather Modification
Title
Microphysical Effects of Wintertime Cloud Seeding with Silver Iodide Over the Rocky Mountains - Part II
Date
10/10/1988
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />1157 <br /> <br />OcTOBER 1988 <br /> <br />ARLIN B. SUPER AND JAMES A. HEIMBACH, JR. <br /> <br />.18 <br /> <br /> <br />passes at 2.7 km. Estimates of the north and south <br />edges of the plume derived from acoustical counter <br />data are shown by vertical lines at the tops of the IPC <br />plots. The means of passes 7 and 8 at 2.7 km, as well <br />as the final pass, are shown separately to illustrate the <br />diminishing ofIPC with time after generator shutdown <br />at 1355. <br />Figure 2 shows that SL W persisted at the sampled <br />levels over the BR T A throughout the mission, with <br />highest amounts found south of the SSL (the origin in <br />Fig. 2) at 2.85 and 3.0 km altitudes. The SLW was <br />very limited north of the SSL at 2.7 km, the lowest <br />level sampled. It is not obvious that seeding markedly <br />reduced the SLW content. The mean vertical velocity <br />within the seeded zones for the 9 passes at 2.7 km al- <br />titude was +0.3 m S-I. Calculations by Rauber and <br />Grant (1986) show that even lesser updrafts can pro- <br />duce sufficient condensate for growth of high concen- <br />trations of small crystals. <br />Evidence of seeding was apparent in both the IPC <br />and AgI measurements as high as the 3.0 km level. <br />Total AgI counts per pass were 14 and 18 at 3.0 km, <br />and 71 and 113 at 2.85 km, and ranged between 73 <br />and 120 for the first four passes at the 2.7 km altitude. <br />Total counts subsequently decreased to 64 on pass 5, <br />66 on pass 6,28 on pass 7 (at 1454), 17 on pass 8, <br />and only 1 on pass 9. Peak IPC in excess of 50 L -1 <br />continued at the lowest sampling level until about 1450. <br />The rapid decrease of both AgI and IPC after that time <br />is further evidence that the enhanced IPC was due to <br />seeding. The observed IPC was almost down to back- <br />ground levels by the ninth and final pass (at about <br />1515), indicating that about 1.5 h was required for the <br />AgI plume to "flush out" after generator shutdown. <br />A convenient method of characterizing the concen- <br />tration oflarge cloud droplets is the threshold diameter, <br />Dr (Hobbs and Rangno 1985). This is defined as the <br />size where droplets ~ Dr have a concentration of 3 cm-3 <br />as measured by the FSSP instrument described in Part <br />I. The mean Dr calculated for the wettest nonseeded 1 <br />km interval of each 2.7 km altitude pass averaged 14 <br />J.Lm, and the mean concentration of all droplets was <br />140 cm -3. The Hallett-Mossop (1974) ice multipli- <br />cation process would not be expected to be active in <br />these clouds, due to the scarcity of droplets >24 J.Lm <br />diameter, and indeed, Fig. 2 shows that the IPC was <br />quite low outside the seeded regions. <br />Figure 3 summarizes ice particle concentrations, <br />sizes, and habits, as well as estimated precipitation rates <br />for the seeded (target) zone and two crosswind (con- <br />trol) zones, all averaged for the first six 2.7 km altitude <br />passes. As noted in section 3, the seeded zone was <br />further subdivided into equal zones designated <br />N-S (North-Seeded), C-S (Central-Seeded), and S-S <br />(South-Seeded). The crosswind control zones, desig- <br />nated N-C (North-Control) and S-C (South-Control), <br />were each 2.5 km wide and were separated from the <br />seeded zones by 1.0 km buffers. The approach of Hol- <br /> <br />1: <br />E <br />E .15 <br />w <br />.. <br />.. <br />a: .12 <br />z <br />o <br />!;i <br />.. .09 <br />0:: <br />(3 <br />w <br />g: .06 <br />Q <br />w <br />~ .03 <br />;: <br /><Il <br />W <br /> <br />850115 <br />1353 -1442 mst <br />6 PASSES AT 2.7 KM <br /> <br />.00 N-C <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />z <br />o <br />!;i 15 <br />a: <br />.. <br />z <br />w <br />o <br />z <br />g 10 <br />w <br />-' <br />o <br />;: <br />a: <br />~ <br />5 <br /> <br />"0! <br />' SPHERIC:' <br />E .16 .......... GRAUPE I <br />E .25 LINEAR <br />w.40 <br />N HEXAGON.. <br />- .63 <br />en DENDRI'II <br />1.0 AGGRE(\:! <br />1,6 <br />'RREGUL :., <br /> <br />w <br />!:! <br />z <br />.. <br />w <br />:I <br /> <br /> <br />FIG. 3. Ice particle concentrations and estimated precipitation rates <br />for the seeded zone subdivided into thirds (N-S, C-S, S-S), and north <br />and south control zones (N-C and S-C), shown by ice particle size <br />and habit. The particle size/habit shadings apply to both top and <br />bottom panels. Values are means for the first six passes at 2.7 km <br />during the afternoon of 15 Jan 1985. <br /> <br />royd (1987) was applied to the 2D-C probe images to <br />estimate the vertical flux of ice particles through the <br />aircraft sampling level, hereafter referred to as precip- <br />itation or snowfall, although these terms are usually <br />reserved for surface measurements. The size scale of <br />Fig. 3 is logarithmic (log 0.10 = -1.0, log 0.16 = -0.8, <br />log 0.25 = -0.6, etc.). <br />The average IPC in the seeded zones exceeded by <br />several times that in either control zone. The maximum <br />IPC was near 16 L -1 in Zones S-S and C-S, while the <br />maximum in the controls was 2 L -1. <br />Figure 3 shows that most of the enhanced IPC was <br />due to particles smaller than 0.6 mm, generally clas- <br />sified as hexagonal or spherical. Visual examination of <br />the latter suggested that they were usually tiny plates <br />too small to classify precisely within the limitations of <br />the 2D-C probe's resolution and the processing soft- <br />ware. Temperatures recorded over the BRTA ranged <br />from -tOO to -120C at 2.7 and 3.0 km altitudes, re- <br />spectively, so that growth of seeding-generated crystals <br />in the observed plate habits is reasonable (Magono and <br />Lee 1966). The limited sizes of these crystals suggests <br />that growth in a water-saturated environment had <br />lasted for only a few hundred seconds (e.g., Ryan et <br />
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