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Weather Modification
Title
Microphysical Effects of Wintertime Cloud Seeding with Silver Iodide Over the Rocky Mountains - Part II
Date
10/10/1988
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<br />1152 <br /> <br />-, <br />I <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY <br /> <br />VOLUME 27 <br /> <br />Microphysical Effects of Wintertime Cloud Seeding with Silver Iodide over the Rocky <br />Mountains. Part II: Observations over the Bridger Range, Montana <br /> <br />ARLIN B. SUPER <br /> <br />U.S Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, Colorado <br /> <br />JAMES A. HEIMBACH, JR.... <br /> <br />Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana <br />(Manuscript received 6 April 1987, in final form 14 March 1988) <br /> <br />I <br />~ <br /> <br />ABSTRACT <br /> <br />During January 1985 six aircraft sampling flights were made in cloud over the target area of an earlier <br />randomized exploratory cloud seeding experiment in the Bridger Range, Montana. One of the two silver iodide <br />(AgI) generator sites used in the earlier experiment was operated well up the west (windward) slope of the <br />north-south oriented Main Ridge. Crosswind aircraft sampling was done to within 300 m above the secondary <br />ridge target area about 17 km downwind of the AgI generator. <br />The AgI plume was detected over the target area on each of the six missions and was generally 5-8 km wide. <br />Three of the missions detected supercooled liquid water (SL W) in the region of the AgI plume. The ice particle <br />concentration (lPC) averaged about an order of magnitude higher in the seeded zone in these cases, and the <br />estimated precipitation rate was greater, as compared with crosswind control zones. Most seeded ice particles <br />were small hexagonal plates, appropriate for the prevailing temperatures and moisture conditions. The AgI <br />generator was deliberately turned off in one of the experiments, and the seeding effects decreased with time <br />beginning about one hour later. <br />The other three missions sampled negligible SL W in the seeded region over the target area. Observations did <br />not indicate detectable changes in ice particle concentrations, sizes or habits. <br />The results of this series of physical experiments are in agreement with statistical suggestions from the earlier <br />randomized experiment. It appears that seeding the stable orographic clouds over the Bridger Range sometimes <br />caused marked increases in IPC, presumably leading to more surface snowfall. The physical observations indicate <br />that enhanced IPC was largely dependent upon the availability of SL W when temperatures were cold enough <br />for AgI nucleation. <br /> <br />1. Introduction <br /> <br />The Bridger Range Experiment (BRE) was a ran- <br />domized exploratory single-area cloud seeding exper- <br />iment conducted in southwestern Montana during the <br />winters of 1969-72. Super and Heimbach (1983; here- <br />after SH) presented strong statistical suggestions from <br />the BRE that seeding with silver iodide (AgI) released <br />well up the west slope of the Main Ridge sometimes <br />increased the downwind snowfall. This was supported <br />by transport and dispersion investigations and airflow <br />studies. The latter suggested that supercooled liquid <br />water (SLW) should often have been produced near <br /> <br />* Present Affiliation: University of North Carolina at Asheville, <br />Asheville, North Carolina. <br /> <br />Corresponding author address: Dr. Arlin B. Super, Bureau ofRec- <br />lamation, Code D-3720, Denver Federal Center, Denver, CO 80225. <br /> <br />@ 1988 American Meteorological Society <br /> <br />the windward slopes of the Main Ridge during oro- <br />graphic storms with westerly flow. <br />SH also indicated that some of the SLW should have <br />been nucleated by the AgI when Main Ridge crest tem- <br />peratures were lower than about -90C, and that re- <br />sulting ice particles should have been transported to- <br />ward the Bangtail Ridge Target Area (BR T A) located <br />between 10 and 20 km east of the seeding sites. <br />Further exploratory analysis by Super (1986) sug- <br />gested that the AgI seeding had little or no effect on <br />BR T A snowfall during most periods, but caused very <br />marked increases during a small proportion of the <br />storm events. Shallow storms with warm cloud top <br />temperatures appeared to be particularly favorable <br />seeding candidates, but some deep storm systems with <br />cold tops also had suggested precipitation increases. <br />No evidence was found of decreased snowfall due to <br />seeding. <br />Although the post hoc statistical analysis of the BRE <br />was very encouraging, SH recommended caution in <br />its interpretation because of its exploratory nature and <br />the limited physical observations obtained during the <br />
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