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7/28/2009 2:40:10 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Microphysical Effects of Wintertime Cloud Seeding with Silver Iodide Over the Rocky Mountains - Part II
Date
10/10/1988
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />1164 <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY <br /> <br />VOLUME 27 <br /> <br />However, a dry arctic air mass existed in the lower <br />levels above the BR T A where the AgI was transported. <br />A shallow liquid cloud with limited SLW content was <br />found over the BRTA on 10 Jan, when a liquid cap <br />cloud was seen on the Main Ridge as well. The missions <br />of 28 Jan were flown in a deep storm with cold top <br />temperatures. Small, transient amounts of SL W were <br />observed that were quickly depleted in the high con- <br />centrations of natural ice particles. <br />The three missions of 19 and 28 Jan, with negligible <br />SL W at AgI plume levels over the BR T A, produced <br />no detectable changes in IPC, ice particle sizes, or habits <br />in the seeded zone. Conversely, the response of the <br />clouds to the AgI seeding was very noticeable on the <br />three flights of 10 and 15 Jan. During these three mis- <br />sions, the AgI clearly encountered SL W at temperatures <br />of -1OoC or lower, resulting in severalfold increases <br />in IPC, typically from < 1 L -1 natural background lev- <br />els to mean values near 10 L -( . Values of the threshold <br />diameter, D/, were near the low value of of 15 Jlm at <br />the 2.7 km level on each of these flights. Therefore, <br />indications of ice multiplication by the Hallett-Mossop <br />process were neither expected nor observed. Mean <br />widths of the enhanced IPC zone on these three flights <br />were 5.2-8.4 km about 17 km downwind of the seeding <br />site. <br />The ice particles caused by seeding on 10 and 15 <br />Jan were generally hexagonal plates mostly less than <br />0.6 mm across, although some grew to the 1.0-1.6 mm <br />range. The estimated seeded zone precipitation rates <br />were approximately twice that of the mean of the cross- <br />wind control zones. <br />Because the small sizes of the ice particles imply <br />limited growth times, it is probable that most of the <br />observed seeded crystals nucleated over the windward <br />slopes of the BR T A. It is also likely that they grew near <br />aircraft sampling levels due to their small settling ve- <br />locities. Ice crystals that formed further upwind over <br />the windward slope and crest of the Main Ridge, which <br />is known to have frequent SLW, most likely settled to <br />the surface upwind of, or below, the aircraft sampling <br />line at 2.7 km. It is speculated that much ofthe effect <br />of AgI seeding was nearer the Main Ridge and at lower <br />levels, where aircraft sampling was not practical. <br />The physical observations of January 1985 lend <br />considerable support to the previously reported statis- <br />tical results. Clouds over the target area routinely con- <br />tained an AgI plume several kilometers wide within <br />300 m of the highest terrain. Supercooled liquid water <br />was observed on the Main Ridge crest from 7% to 9% <br />of all hours from January through March 1985, an <br />unusually dry period. During three of six in-cloud mis- <br />sions, the. AgI intercepted SL W over the target. area, <br />and consequently, severalfold increases in IPC were <br />found in the seeded zone. The crystal habits were ap- <br />propriate for growth at the temperature of the sampling <br />level. Most crystals in the seeded zone were small, im- <br />plying recent nucleation. Estimated precipitation rates <br /> <br />were greater in the seeded zones than in the crosswind <br />control zones. While the limited physical sampling of <br />January 1985 obviously does not completely verify the <br />earlier statistical findings, which were based on a large <br />number of cases, there is no obvious disagreement be- <br />tween the two approaches. It is recommended that a <br />confirmatory statistical seeding experiment be designed <br />and conducted in the Bridger Range. A strong physical <br />component should be part of the design to test that the <br />key steps in the hypothesis are routinely met. The ad- <br />vantages of this particular mountain range include 1) <br />a relatively simple and isolated N-S Main Ridge lying <br />across the prevailing westerly flow with a broad sec- <br />ondary ridge as the downwind target; 2) a reasonably <br />high frequency of stable orographic clouds containing <br />SL W cold enough to be nucleated with AgI near crest- <br />line levels; 3) a demonstrated ability to routinely target <br />the clouds with ground-based generators; 4) the exis- <br />tence of an apparently successful exploratory statistical <br />experiment; and 5) the existence of the physical evi- <br />dence contained in this paper. The authors are not <br />aware of any mountain barrier that would appear to <br />offer more promise for a successful confirmatory seed- <br />ing experiment with winter clouds. <br /> <br />Acknowledgments. The authors wish to acknowledge <br />the participation of the National Center for Atmo- <br />spheric Research-Research Aviation Facility, without <br />which the January experiment could not have been <br />conducted. Key to the NCAR-RAF involvement were <br />William Cooper and Erick Miller. In addition, Gilbert <br />Summers and Donald Darnell skillfully piloted the air- <br />craft, and Mr. Summers took the initiative to obtain a <br />special FAA waiver to fly at low levels, which was very <br />important for the results obtained. Gerhard Langer, <br />the inventor of the acoustical ice nucleus counter, con- <br />tributed his time and talents to updating and testing <br />the counter used on the King Air aircraft. The Uni- <br />versity of Wyoming, through John Marwitz, generously <br />loaned the acoustical counter. The software developed <br />by Ed Holroyd to process 2D-C images and estimate <br />precipitation rates was very beneficial to the analysis. <br />Jack McPartland and Bruce Boe made several sugges- <br />tions to improve the manuscript, and Boe drafted the <br />figures. The many helpful comments of the reviewers <br />also contributed significantly to this paper. <br />The field portions of this research were mainly sup- <br />ported by the National Science Foundation, contract <br />ATM 8414143. The Division of Atmospheric Re- <br />sources Research, Bureau of Reclamation, also pro- <br />vided considerable support, especially in the analysis <br />phase. The National Center for Atmospheric Research <br />is supported by the National Science Foundation. <br /> <br />I <br />/' <br /> <br />REFERENCES <br /> <br />Boe, B. A, and A. B. Super, 1986: Wintertime characteristics of <br />supercooled liquid water over the Grand Mesa of western Col- <br />orado. J. Wea. Mod., 18, 102-107. <br />
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