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7/28/2009 2:40:10 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Microphysical Effects of Wintertime Cloud Seeding with Silver Iodide Over the Rocky Mountains - Part II
Date
10/10/1988
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />1160 <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY <br /> <br />VOLUME 27 <br /> <br />over the entire state and beyond, with some cloud top <br />temperature below -50oC near the Bridger Range. <br />Snow began in the early morning and diminished dur- <br />ing the afternoon. Throughout the morning, skies were <br />obscured over the seeding site. Ice crystal clouds over <br />the BR T A permitted intermittent visual ground contact <br />from the aircraft. <br />Due to air traffic restrictions, the morning climbout <br />sounding reached only the 3.7 km level (-190C). Par- <br />ticle concentrations recorded by the 260X probe varied <br />from a few to 20 L -1 up to 3.7 km. No icing rate data <br />were available at the Crest Observatory on this day due <br />to an equipment malfunction. The AgI generator suf- <br />fered from slag formation in the combustion chamber <br />throughout the mission, so AgI output was reduced by <br />an unknown amount. <br />North-south passes over the BRTA detected no <br />SL W at the 3.6 and 3.0 km levels, and the IPC generally <br />varied from 2 to 10 L -1 with peaks of 15 L -I . <br />Mean SL W amounts detected within 5 km of the <br />SSL on the first six passes at 2.7 km altitude were zero, <br />while four subsequent passes averaged 0.01-0.02 g m - 3. <br />Narrow, transitory peak values of 0.1 g m -3 were re- <br />corded near the SSL (over the highest Bangtail Ridge <br />terrain) during the latter passes. Observed AgI counts <br />at 2.7 km altitude were lower than usual, probably due <br />to the generator difficulties, and totals ranged from 12 <br />to 83 on the ten passes. A single pass at 3.0 km altitude <br />recorded only 5 counts. Plume position was consistent <br />with the observed westerly flow. <br />The seeded zone could not be defined by enhanced <br />IPC as on 10 and 15 Jan, but a central seeded zone <br />was defined by the mean AgI plume edge positions at <br />2.7 km. It was compared with control zones from 3 to <br />6 km crosswind. No significant differences in IPC, <br />crystal sizes or habits were apparent, and it was con- <br />cluded that seeding had no significant effect on the <br />region sampled. This is not surprising in view of the <br />essentially all ice crystal cloud that existed over the <br />BRTA. <br /> <br />f 28 Jan, p.m. <br /> <br />The aircraft climbout sounding observed cloud top <br />at 4.7 km and -270e. Trace SLW amounts were en- <br />countered from 3.6 to 3.8 km and 4.6 to 4.7 km. Ice <br />particle concentrations from the 260X probe ranged <br />from 1 to 10 L -1. <br />No SLW was detected during BRTA passes at 3.4 <br />and 3.0 km altitudes, but IPC varied from 10 to 40 <br />L -1 , and once exceeded 60 L -1 . A weak AgI plume <br />was observed at 3.0 km. During subsequent 2.85 km <br />passes, AgI was detected 2-6 km south of the SSL, and <br />IPC remained highly variable, ranging from 5 to 70 <br />L -1 . Except for a very few transient SL W zones, the <br />cloud consisted of ice crystals. Six passes at the 2.7 km <br />level consistently found the strong AgI plume posi- <br />tioned where expected, considering the observed west- <br /> <br />erly wind. Infrequently, small SLW pockets were en- <br />countered but were transitory in the presence of natural <br />IPC from 5 to 50 L-1. <br />No microphysical changes were observed within the <br />seeded cloud over the BRTA. At the levels sampled, <br />the limited SL W was apparently being rapidly depleted <br />by the high natural IPC. One can only speculate on <br />what transpired nearer the windward slopes of the Main <br />Ridge and Bangtail Ridge, where SL W production <br />might have been greater. <br /> <br />5. Summary of physical observations and comparison <br />with earlier statistical analyses <br /> <br />The six in-cloud sampling missions are summarized <br />in Table 1, which shows that the atmosphere was ab- <br />solutely stable in each case. As reported by SH, absolute <br />stability was usually observed during the BRE. As will <br />be shown in section 6, flow was W to WNW during <br />the January 1985 experiments, which is also typical of <br />the BRE. <br />The seeding material was routinely observed on all <br />flights at the lowest 2.7 km sampling level over the <br />target area but was rarely detected above the 3.0 km <br />level. This is consistent with earlier VFR plume ob- <br />servations over the Main Ridge. Clearly, high altitude <br />ground-based seeding is capable of providing AgI to <br />clouds over both the Main Ridge and downwind Bang- <br />tail Ridge during westerly flow. Mechanical turbulence <br />is believed to provide the dispersion mechanism in the <br />stable atmosphere. <br />Table 1 shows that each of the six missions had a <br />Crest Observatory temperature of -90C or lower, <br />thereby satisfying one criterion of SH for seeding to be <br />effective. Three of the missions had SL W present in <br />the seeded zone over the BR T A. Obvious seeding sig- <br />natures were found in these cases with considerable <br />enhancement of the IPC and apparent increases in pre- <br />cipitation. Any decreases in SL W that may have re- <br />sulted were masked by spatial and temporal variability <br />in SL W content. The other three cases, with virtually <br />no SL W in the seeded zone, had no apparent micro- <br />physical changes associated with the AgI plumes. This <br />is in agreement with the physical hypothesis discussed <br />by SH and stated in Part I. <br />An abundance of hexagonal plates were found in <br />the seeded zones of 10 and 15 Jan. These were appro- <br />priate for the temperature and moisture regimes ob- <br />served, presuming they were caused by the AgI. Most <br />of these ice crystals were less than 0.6 mm in size, but <br />some grew to the 1.0-1.6 mm range. <br />Estimates of precipitation rates were made using <br />Holroyd's (1987) computerized scheme applied to the <br />2D-C images, which should be used with caution be- <br />cause of the limitations discussed in Part I. However, <br />the estimates suggest at least a doubling of precipitation <br />due to seeding on 10 and 15 Jan. Such large percentage <br />increases are consistent with the statistical findings of <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />" <br />
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