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<br />DECEMBER 1978 <br /> <br />GERARD E. KLAZURA AND CLEMENT J. TODD <br /> <br />1765 <br /> <br />14 <br /> <br /> <br />12 <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br />em =23.20C <br />BASE = I k m <br />--'5'C M.R.~16.2g kg-I <br /> <br />CLOUD BASE 200e <br /> <br />'0 <br /> <br />15 <br /> <br />20 <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />UPDRAFT (m 5-1) <br /> <br />FIG. 7. Variation of the minimum cloud depth required for <br />a particle to grow large enough to begin to fall through the <br />cloud as a function of updraft speed for initial hygroscopic <br />drop diameters of 40 to 200 I-'m, naturally formed hydrometeors, <br />and ice particles formed through the nucleation of AgI nuclei <br />in a warm, moist cloud (model computations). <br /> <br />discussion to consider the onset of natural precipita- <br />. tion to evolve from particles that can be approximated <br />by 10-20 ~m hygroscopic seeds released beneath cloud <br />base (they grow to about 50-70 ~m by the time they <br />reach cloud-base region). <br />With this concept in mind we can investigate the <br />height at which precipitation particles become large <br />enough so they are just balanced by the updraft for <br />various hygroscopic seeds, for large drops evolved <br />from continental clouds, and for ice particles grown <br />following the nucleation of AgI nuclei. <br />Calculations used for growth of ice particles from <br />nucleation of AgI are described by Smith et at. (1974). <br />Time and height at which precipitation particles form <br />may be critical factors to the efficiency with which <br />a cloud precipitates. The smaller the cloud depth <br />required for the precipitation particle to begin to fall <br />through the updraft, the less time it takes for rain <br />to begin and the better the chances for the Langmuir <br />chain reaction mechanism to occur. <br />We consider a warm, humid air mass with clouds <br />containing (naturally) 50-100 ~m size particles in the <br />base. One might expect hygroscopic seeding to be <br />more effective in producing colloidal instability earlier <br />and lower in the cloud than either natural cloud <br />processes or through ice-phase (AgI) seeding. Fig. 7 <br />verifies this conceptual" feeling." <br />The height at which a precipitation particle be- <br />comes large enough so it is just balanced by the <br />updraft is given for hygroscopic seeds (40, 100 and <br />200 ~m initially), for large drops evolved naturally <br /> <br /> <br />30 <br /> <br />from a continental cloud, and for ice particles grown <br />from AgI nuclei. Notice how much lower in the cloud <br />the large drop is formed in the hygroscopically seeded <br />case. A similar graph is illustrated in Fig. 8, except <br />the cloud conditions here are much drier and colder. <br />Nucleated AgI particles require less cloud depth than <br />the natural process for updraft speeds greater than <br />2 m s-r, and only slightly greater depth than 40 ~m <br />hygroscopic seeds for updrafts between 3 and 12 m S-I. <br />Thus, as would be expected, as the cloud base gets <br />colder, the ice-phase mechanism for initiating colloidal <br />instability becomes more efficient. <br />The variations in growth rate for the three cate- <br />gories just discussed have been observed to occur in <br />real clouds. Dennis and Koscielski (1972) have analyzed <br />first radar echoes in salt seeded, AgI seeded and un- <br />seeded clouds in South Dakota, and found quite a <br />variance in the height above cloud base of the first <br />echo between the three categories. The median height <br />above cloud base was 3353 m for unseeded clouds, <br />2103 m for AgI seeded clouds and 1615 m for salt <br />seeded clouds. <br /> <br />b. A cloud seeding case study <br /> <br />A case of rain apparently being produced as a result <br />of hygroscopic seeding occurred on 23 July 1970, <br />near Rapid City, South Dakota (Biswas and Dennis, <br />1971). The cloud system that produced the spec- <br />tacular results was observed visually, photographed <br />and scanned by radar (with signals digitally recorded) <br />before, during and after the rainshower. A best esti- <br />mate of the internal cloud profiles was predicted by <br /> <br />,; <br /> <br /> <br />BASE O. C <br /> <br />,. <br /> <br />'2 <br /> <br />'0 <br /> <br />em = 16. C <br />BASE = 3km <br />M.R.~S.9g kg-I <br /> <br />>- <br />:I: <br />~ <br />W <br />:I: <br /> <br />--IS.C <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />_-50 C <br /> <br />10 15 <br />UPDRAFT (m ,-') <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />20 <br /> <br />FIG. 8. As in Fig. 7 except for colder, drier cloud. <br /> <br /></1 <br />