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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:39:06 PM
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4/18/2008 10:00:18 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
Design of Physical Cloud Seeding Experiment for the Arizona Atmospheric Modification Research Program - Final Report
Date
2/1/1991
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />3. Do conditions exist such that seeding will reduce the snowfall on the Mogollon Rim? <br />There is conflicting evidence on this point and more physical evidence is needed to test limited <br />statistical suggestions that such decreases can be significant. The reality and magnitude of any <br />seeding-caused decreases should be known prior to implementation of operational seeding. <br /> <br />4. How frequently can ground-released AgI result in significant concentrations of ice crystals <br />well upwind of the barrier to allow for crystal growth and fallout? <br /> <br />5. Does nature enhance the IPC near the ground? Super et al. (1989) discuss large apparent <br />increases in IPC between lowest aircraft sampling levels and the ground. Because of <br />differences in sampling times between the aircraft and ground systems, and artificial increases <br />due to snowflake breakup in the ground probe, it could not be determined how much of the <br />apparent increase was real. However, low-level ice crystal development has been observed at <br />other mountain barriers, possibly because transient supersaturations in the ascending air allow <br />natural ice nuclei to become effective. The amount of natural ice particle formation in the <br />lowest several hundred meters above the Mogollon Rim needs to be documented, as any such <br />formation would be competing with seeding caused crystals for the available SL W. <br /> <br />These uncertainties all suggest caution should be exercised in using numerical model predictions. <br />Model outputs should certainly be used for general guidance in conducting seeding experiments. <br />Models will no doubt improve as better observational evidence becomes available and leads to more <br />through theoretical understanding. However, at this stage an empirical approach continues to be <br />required, with the effect of seeding under particular conditions demonstrated by comprehensive <br />physical observations. <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />1.5.2 General Overview. - A number of sophisticated observational systems are required for <br />detection of key physical processes in comprehensive physical seeding experiments, whether ground- <br />based or airborne seeding is used. Additional measurement systems will provide supporting data <br />to assist in conduct of experiments and post hoc analys.is of the resulting data base. A specially <br />instrumented aircraft, hereafter called the cloud physics aircraft, will be the primary airborne <br />sensing platform, Ground observing systems will include a scanning Doppler radar; a microwave <br />radiometer; a Doppler acoustic sounder; an aspirated ice particle imaging probe; a laser ceilometer; <br />tower-mounted wind, temperature, humidity, and icing sensors; and a network of high-resolution <br />precipitation gauges, In addition, manual observations will include frequent sampling of surface <br />snowfall for precipitation rate and later silver content analysis, and microphotographs of ice crystals <br />to reveal details of structure and evidence of riming growth, These systems will now be described, <br />and brief discussion given of their respective roles in the experiments. The instrumentation <br />required on the cloud physics and seeding aircraft will be described first, followed by the <br />ground-based measurement systems, Sections 1.6 and 1.7 will provide more detail on how the <br />various observing systems will be integrated in conduct of the ground-based and aircraft seeding <br />experiments, respectively. <br /> <br />1.5.3 Cloud Physics Aircraft. - The most valuable cloud physics aircraft measurements will <br />be SL W, IPC, and AgI concentration, all referenced to position and time. King and J - W hot wire <br />probes and a PMS-FSSP sensor (see the appendix for listing of instrument sources) will be used to <br />monitor SLW, which must be present for seeding to create significant concentrations of ice particles, <br />The FSSP also yields cloud droplet concentrations and sizes, of special interest concerning possible <br />ice multiplication (Hallet and Mossop, 1974). A PMS 2D-C particle imaging probe will provide IPC <br />and particle sizes and an estimation of habits, If SL W is present, the seeded cloud volume should <br /> <br />13 <br />
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