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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:39:02 PM
Creation date
4/18/2008 9:59:25 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
Demonstration of Improved Operational Water Resources Management Through Use of Better Snow Water Equivalent Information
Date
9/1/2002
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />GCIP taskings. Much of the following was taken from Super and Holroyd (1997b). Enhance- <br />ments to the SAA since its development and initial implementation will be elaborated in <br />section 6. <br /> <br />As stated in the Introduction, the SAA endeavored to provide quantitative precipitation <br />estimation (QPE) for snow rather than rain. The role of the PPS is to estimate rain only. Radar <br />remote sensing of frozen precipitation presents challenges different from sensing rain. Snow has <br />more complicated shapes than rain as well as a different dielectric constant, resulting in lesser <br />reflectivities. Furthermore, if the snow is melting, a spuriously strong reflectivity layer known as <br />the "bright band" will result. Estimates are therefore valid for dry snow only and not for <br />equivalent radar reflectivity (Ze) measurements contaminated by such bright band effects. The <br />SAA provides estimates of both SWE and SD over I-hour (hr), 2-hr, 3-hr, 6-hr, and 24-hr <br />periods. <br /> <br />Despite the limitations, the relationship between equivalent radar reflectivity Ze and snowfall rate <br />S may be approximated by the same power law used for rainfall (with S substituted for rainfall <br />rate R), <br /> <br />Z = aSP <br />e <br /> <br />where a and p are empirically determined coefficients. We calibrate to Ze rather than Z as in the <br />rainfall equation, because of the non-Rayleigh scattering of incident radar energy by snow. <br /> <br />The SAA related Ze to hourly S accumulations sampled by Universal gauges and snow boards <br />within -60 km of each radar. All matching of Ze and S used the single "nearest neighbor" range <br />bin directly over the surface observing site. The algorithm uses equation (1) to convert Ze values <br />(in decibels) to S for each range bin location and volume scan, to avoid a bias caused by <br />averaging Ze over time. We determine the power (P) and coefficient (a) by minimizing a <br />criterion function (absolute difference between gauge measurements and radar estimates) as pis <br />incremented from 1.0 to 3.0. <br /> <br />It is difficult to obtain accurate hourly S accumulations for reasons discussed by Super <md <br />Holroyd (1996). These reasons are related primarily to serious wind-caused undercatch by most <br />existing recording gauges. Accordingly, special observations were made during the 1995-96 and <br />1996-97 winters in sheltered locations. These locations were geographically diverse, including <br />Albany, New York; Cleveland, Ohio; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Denver and Grand Junction, <br />Colorado. <br /> <br />An optimization scheme, based on the work of Smith et al. (1975) and described in Super and <br />Holroyd (1996), was used to determine appropriate Ze-S relationships. The optimization scheme <br />yielded p values near 2.0 for all three sites, essentially the same as the theoretical value derived <br />by Matrosov (1992) for S-band radar, and similar to the 2.21 value from re-analysis of snow <br />particle-size distribution data by Sekhon and Srivastava (1970). If the scheme failed to optimize, <br />an alternative iterative process was used instead. Final results were reported (Super and Holroyd, <br />1998) as follows: With Ze in millimeters6 (mm) m-3 and S in mm hr-I, values of a were 120 for <br />Albany, 130 for Denver, 260 for Cleveland, and 180 for Minneapolis. An a value of 150 was <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br />(1) <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />
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