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<br />1060 <br /> <br />a <br /> <br />MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW <br /> <br />VOLUME 108 <br /> <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br /> <br />FINAL TO <br /> <br />INITIAL DEW POINT <br /> <br />b <br /> <br />J N IT I AL TEMPERATURE <br /> <br />LEGEND <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br />/:/.. <br />/,\' ,! <br />:.. . <br />:: .. \ <br />20 ~o ~,}~~~;.. 'X" <br /> <br />290 ". ~ ~ , . . :.... <br />. .' <br />30 " .' _I, <br /> <br />-/-'" :.~. 't . " <br />40 V . : <br />/ <br />50 Z' <br />60 <br /> <br />:~ ~" <br />85 <br />100 <br /> <br />~o <br /> <br />FINAL TEMPERATURE <br /> <br /> 20 <br />a: <br />"- 3D <br />~ <br />w <br />D:: <br />~ <br />lI'l 40 <br />lI'l <br />W <br />D:: <br />"- <br /> 50 <br /> 60 <br /> <br />. ", .. <br /> <br />! . <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />. <br />,.? - -..- '. <br />.:1: " <( <br />0:... III , ". <br />~.\ i..: .~ I <br />... L&....:: "t. ~ <br /> <br />.1 <br />.."'1 -- <br />. . <br />/~ .:t. ~', <br />. .",. <br />I' :o' <br /> <br />~o <br /> <br />I <br />, <br /> <br />FINAL SOUNDING AT 15 HR 0 MIN <br />TEMPERATURE leI <br /> <br />IJ -50 -40 <br /> <br /> <br />'IXj1 <br />\. -30 <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />'. <br /> <br /> <br />FINAL SOUNDTNG AT 15 HR 0 MIN <br />TEMPERATURE ICI <br /> <br />FIG. 4. (a) Thermodynamic changes due to lifting and cloud-environment interaction for 4 h simulation from llO0 to 1500 LST on 30 <br />June 1977 at Goodland, Kansas. The initial and final temperature and dew point profiles and corresponding changes (shading) are shown <br />on a skew T thermodynamic diagram. Mesoscale lifting of 20 cm s-' was applied from 1200 to 1500 LST. (b) As in Fig. 4a for the <br />24 August 1977 Goodland, Kansas case of intense mesoscale triggering, Note the relatively high instability from the surface to 50 kPa. <br /> <br />tion regarding the potential for mesoscale triggered <br />convective cloud development. Note that the two <br />case study examples differ from the statistical analy- <br />sis cases in that 4 h of development were simulated <br />rather than the 3 h used in the 232 cases. The 4 h <br />period was used in the case study to provide a <br />clear example of differences between the two types <br />of days. <br /> <br />CASE 1 <br /> <br />Clear skies in a ridge behind a cold front pre- <br />vailed at GLD on 30 June 1977 as seen in Figs. 3a <br />and 3b. The model simulations using this day's <br />sounding (Fig. 4a) were unable to produce any sig- <br />nificant convection even with 20 cm s-1Iifting. Three <br />high-based cumulus congestus clouds ~2 km deep <br />were produced (Fig. Sa) after 3 h of 20 cm S-1 lift- <br />ing (CPI = 7.9 km), and no clouds were diagnosed <br />in the no-lifting and 10 cm S-1 lifting simulations. <br />The simulation with 20 cm S-1 lifting showed that, <br />although the strong subsidence inversion was <br />sharply eroded by 3 h of lifting (Fig. 4a), no sig- <br />nificant clouds could develop in this suppressed <br />environment. Note the lifting and weakening of the <br />stable layer from 60-70 kPa to the 50-60 kPa <br />level between the initial and final times. Note also <br />the increase in the PBL dew point and advection of <br />moisture upward from the moist layer between <br />50 and 60 kPa. <br /> <br />CASE 2 <br /> <br />On 24 August 1917, strong convective cloud de- <br />velopment in the form of a mesoscale line was ob- <br />served in satellite imagery at 2030 GMT, 150 km <br />west ofGLD (Figs. 3c and 3d). This line later moved <br />through western Kansas as a squall line producing <br />heavy precipitation. The sequence of development <br />simulated by the model in this case showed that no <br />deep convection was possible without mesoscale <br />lifting. After 1 h of 20 cm S-1 lifting, deep moist <br />convection with cloud depths of 12-13 km was main- <br />tained (Fig. 5b) yielding a CPI of 76.4 km. When <br />no lifting was applied the CPI of this case was zero, <br />whereas 10 cm s-1lifting resulted in a CPI of 49.4 km. <br />It can be seen from Figs. 4 and 4b that the sound- <br />ing on 24 August is much less stable than that on 30 <br />June, and the moisture content is much higher. Care- <br />ful examination of Fig. 4b shows that lifting causes <br />complex changes in environmental temperature and <br />moisture and that cloud-environment interaction <br />further alters the resulting thermodynamic struc- <br />ture. Strong cooling in excess of 3-50C occurred <br />between 70 and 50 kPa where very stable lapse <br />rates existed. Note the sUIface warming in the PBL <br />between 87 and 80 kPa and the adiabatic cooling of <br />the mid-tropospheric levels from the initial to final <br />times which significantly decrease static stability <br />and increase the positive area in this region, Up- <br />ward moisture advection due to lifting also pro- <br /> <br />"1 <br />il <br />