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<br />satisfy Mexico. Most importantly, the Upper Basin would <br />argue, it should be entitled to withhold any water that might <br />have otherwise gone to Mexico, with the entire Mexico Burden <br />being met by the Lower Basin. The Upper Basin should not be <br />penalized, the argument continues, because the Lower Basin is <br />consuming Colorado River water in excess of its compact <br />entitlements and is gobbling up any basin-wide Rsurplus" <br />before it gets to Mexico. <br /> <br />The Lower Basin's counter argument is that the "surplus" <br />under Article III(c) is unambiguously defined as any Colorado <br />River water in excess of that amount required to satisfy the <br />consumptive use apportionments under Article III paragraphs <br />(a) and (b) of 16.0 MAP. Again, assuming a basin-wide virgin <br />flows of 17.0 MAF (virgin flows at Lee Ferry plus Lower Basin <br />tributary virgin flows) and excluding any evaporation or <br />channel losses, there would only be a surplus of 1.0 MAP over <br />the Article III apportionments, and a deficiency in meeting <br />the Mexico Burden of .5 MAF, to be borne equally by the Upper <br />and Lower Basins. <br /> <br />The Lower Basin has even gone further and suggested that <br />the Lower Basin tributaries should not be counted in deter- <br />mining whether a "surplus" exists. This argument relies on <br />the decision in Arizona v. California which excluded the <br />Lower Basin tributaries in apportioning the Lower Colorado <br />River among California, Arizona, and Nevada. It should be <br />noted, however, that this decision is not a strong precedent <br />for the Lower Basin in that it was based on the implicit <br />Congressional apportionment of the Lower Colorado River in <br />the 1928 Boulder Canyon Project Act, and did not construe the <br />1922 Compact. Nonetheless the exclusion of the Lower Basin <br />tributaries under the 1928 Boulder Canyon Project Act was <br />unprecedented, and it is possible that the 1922 Compact could <br />be similarly construed. If the Lower Basin tributaries are <br />excluded from the accounting, and the rest of the Lower Basin <br />definition of "surplus" again applied with the same assump- <br />tions, there would not be any "surplus" at all for Mexico, <br />and each basin would have to contribute .75 MAF. <br /> <br />The Upper and Lower Basin's disagreement over the defi- <br />nintion of "consumptive use" could also in turn affect the <br />definition of "surplus" and the Upper Basin's obligation to <br />Mexico. The Lower Basin defines "consumptive use" as diver- ~~ ' <br />sions less returns to the river. This definintion could be <br />understood to include a great deal of evaporation and con- <br />veyance losses. In 1975, mainstem evaporation and conveyance <br />losses totalled 1.408 MAP in the Lower Basin, and .607 MAF in <br />the Upper. ("Consumptive Uses and Losses Report"). In <br />applying this definition to Article III(c), the Lower Basin <br />would add these amounts to the 16.0 MAF apportioned by <br />Article III paragraphs (a) and (b) to determine whether there <br /> <br />-13- <br />