Laserfiche WebLink
<br />4. Seeding the cloud with a combination of exothermic and endothermic hygroscopic <br />particles at different stages of cloud development to: a) invigorate the cloud's updraft, <br />thereby initiating warm convective clouds and/or stimulating their growth, and then <br />b) increase the coalescence rate of conversion of cloud water to precipitation particles <br />with respect to the rate of loss of cloud water to other sinks and, at the same time, <br />invigorate cloud downdrafts to help the hydrometeors reach the ground. <br /> <br />The first three approaches are designed to produce microphysical effects that will improve <br />the efficiency of the rain evolution mechanisms and decrease the time required to initiate the <br />precipitation process; the fourth approach is designed to produce a combination of <br />microphysical and dynamic effects to maximize the rainfall falling at a specific location on <br />the ground. The reader is referred to the WMO Report of the Meeting of Experts on Warm <br />Cloud Modification, Kuala Lumpur, March 18-24, 1981 (WMO, 1981b), for a more complete <br />discussion of this subject. <br /> <br />3.3 Summary of Results of Relevance to Thailand <br /> <br />Since about 1955, experiments and projects designed to increase precipitation through <br />hygroscopic particle seeding have been conducted, involving both ground and airborne seeding <br />methods. Only the most relevant scientific studies are mentioned here; the reader is referred <br />to Cotton (1982) for a more complete discussion of this subject. <br /> <br />Biswas and Dennis (1971) reported that the seeding below one end of a line of stratocumulus <br />clouds with 350 pounds of sodium chloride resulted in a shower, and that no rain fell from <br />any other clouds within 50 miles of the :seeded cloud. In subsequent calculations (Biswas and <br />Dennis, 1972), they postulated that a ehain reaction process stimulated by the salt seeding <br />was likely involved in the evolution of precipitation. <br /> <br />A long series of hygroscopic particle seeding experiments on warm convective clouds has been <br />carried out in India (see, for example, Biswas et al., 1967; Kapoor et aI., 1976; and Murty, <br />1989). Murty (1989) reported the results of an ll-year randomized crossover experiment in <br />which warm convective clouds were seeded at cloud base with sodium chloride particles 10 <br />micrometers in size. The seeding on da.ys when the experimental area was covered by clouds <br />(area seeding days) was about 10 to 3:0 kilograms per kilometer, and the seeding on days <br />when the experimental area had only a few clouds (target-control days) was 700 to 1000 <br />kilograms per cloud. For 80 pairs of area seeding days, he reported an increase in rainfall <br />of24 percent at a 4-percent significance level. For 62 pairs oftarget-control days, he reported <br />a decrease in rainfall of 35 percent, which was not statistically significant. <br /> <br />Experiments to increase precipitation from warm cloud base convective clouds using <br />hygroscopic flares are being conducted in South Mrica (Mather and Terblanche, 1992). In <br />these experiments, hygroscopic flares are burned in the sub cloud layer which introduce about <br />1011 particles per flare greater than 1 micrometer in diameter. The particles are a mixture <br />of sodium chloride, potassium chloride, lithium carbonate, and magnesium oxide. Mather and <br />Terblanche (1992) report that cloud physics measurements taken during seeding trials with <br />the hygroscopic flares support the hypothesis that the seeding is initiating, or at least <br />enhancing, the coalescence process. Statistical analysis of the first year of a multi-year <br />hygroscopic flare seeding experiment in South Mrica (Steffens, 1992) indicates that rainfall <br />from seeded clouds is greater than that in non-seeded clouds, but has no statistical <br />significance. <br /> <br />23 <br />