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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:38:01 PM
Creation date
4/16/2008 11:06:54 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
Special Regional Weather Modification Conference Augmentation of Winter Orographic Precipitation in the Western US
Date
11/11/1975
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />28/23 to 29/03: In the next period E~mbedded convection forms while cirrus <br />persists even though the cloud top height decreases and hence, the cloud top <br />temperature increases. The atmosphere destabilizes because of differential <br />advection of ee (aee/at < 0 aloft and aee/at > 0 below). During this period the <br />level above which the winds are from 1600 through 2800 lowers rapidly while the <br />cloud base typically lowers to the ground from evaporating precipitation particles. <br />If the unblocked wind level lowers below 2.5 km, it is probably possible to over- <br />seed this period of the storm. This is bl~cause the cirrus above the convection <br />already more than adequately seeds the cmlvective clouds. In this particular <br />storm the 500 mb temperature went below seeding specifications at 28/23. The <br />preliminary data suggests that convection embedded in high cirrus typically con- <br />tains ice crystal concentrations in excess of 100/9-. <br />29/03 to 29/12: The next and last pE~riod in the storm sequence prior to <br />dissipation is quite typical. The clouds are predominantly convective and are <br />capped by an inversion which continues to lower as the synoptic trough passes. <br />When the inversion lowers to mountain top level (3.5 krn) the airflow is blocked <br />and the clouds dissipate. As the level of free convection lowers the air is drawn <br />from ever lower levels until finally, the air and AgI is definitely flushed up and <br />over the mountain. During this period the AgI is probably distributed throughout <br />the cloud by the free convection. Based on observations in real time over the San <br />Juans and in Wyoming we have the strong ~npression that convective clouds which <br />are not embedded in cirrus have substantial supercooled water in them and typical <br />ice crystal concentrations of 1 to 10/Q,. If these impressions are confirmed by <br />detailed analysis, they have a significant implication. This period of the storm <br />has a high seeding potential despite the cold 500 mb temperatures. <br /> <br />V. Swmnary and Seedability Implications <br /> <br />Convection, if present in an orographic cloud, serves to concentrate the <br />vertical velocities within the updra.ft cores. In so doing it transports AgI under <br />seeding conditions from the PBL upwa.rds and distributes it throughout the cloud. <br />If the convection extends upward into an overlying cloud containing high concentra- <br />tions of natural ice crystals, then the subsiding motion around the embedded <br />convection transports the cirrus crystals downward. When seeding an orographic <br />cloud containing embedded convectioTL that extends into a cloud of cirrus crystals, <br />overseeding is quite likely. Without convection the seeding material will remain <br />in the PBL. <br />If the horizontal pressure gradient is sufficient, then the PBL will move up <br />and over the mountain barrier and only the shallow layer near the ground will be <br />seeded. Much of the time the flow below the mountain is blocked on the San Juans <br />and the seeding material does not sE!ed the clouds until sometime later when either <br />the pressure gradient becomes suffieient to move the seeded layer over the mountain <br />and/or the convection transports the material upward and over the mountain. <br />The convection serves several other roles, mainly of a cloud physics nature. <br />The condensation rate is increased by the increased vertical velocities and also <br />the location of the condensation is changed. For a stratiform cloud the maximum <br />condensation rate is located just upwind of the mountain crest, while with con- <br />vection the location is displaced several kilometers upstream, most normally near <br />the base of the mountain. The condensation rates and locations quite likely modify <br />the precipitation process with riming and graupel normally associated with con- <br />vection. <br /> <br />25 <br />
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