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<br />55 <br /> <br />precipitation that will fall to the target area. Notice that, although this <br /> <br />conclusion is modified somewhat by the vertical transport due.. to convection, <br /> <br />most of the region over the mountain is unseedable even in the presence of <br /> <br />greatly enhanced vertical transport. The line labeled "1 m/sec" on Fig. <br /> <br />3.8 indicates the fall expected for an ice crystal falling 1 meter/second <br /> <br />in the absence of any updraft, and the liquid water over the mountain <br /> <br />lies mostly to the right of this line. <br /> <br />Thus the best target for seeding is the convective zone ahead of the <br /> <br />mountains. This zone is located above the convergence zone which is over <br /> <br />the seeding generators. ,In terms of ground-based seeding, the generators <br /> <br />are apparently placed in as good a location as possible for the unstable <br /> <br />storm type. The trajectories of Fig. 3.5c and 3.8 suggest that seeding <br /> <br />should be effective in this region. <br /> <br />In both unstable and neutral storm stages, the liquid water region over <br /> <br />the mountains is seedable, but was not useful to the San Juan Project because <br /> <br />the precipitation formed in this region was swept beyond the continental <br /> <br />divide and could not reach the target area. Seeding in this region probably <br /> <br />accounts for the high downwind increases observed for unstable cases (Elliott, <br /> <br />"1975) . <br /> <br />Our picture of the most seedable storm situation is one of a moderately <br /> <br />unstable cloud, with a surface convergence zone and an associated convective <br /> <br />zone ahead of the target area. The cloud should be relatively shallow, to <br /> <br />prevent fall of naturally formed ice crystals from high levels into the <br /> <br />seedable lower levels. The storm should also have warm cloud tops and cold <br /> <br />cloud bases. To gain time for the AgI to act, the winds should be moderate. <br /> <br />d. Ihe dissipation stage <br /> <br />Since a weak cooverg~nce zone and cumulus clouds containing liquid water are <br /> <br />present, it may be possible to extend the precipitation period of the storm by <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />II <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />