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<br />- 28 - <br /> <br />even separate the cloud top from the lower cloud part, thus disconnecting it from the water <br />flux - and no rain enhancement can be expected. The same negative outcome for hail suppres- <br />sion may arise because the potential for hail formation can be enhanced by incr~ased up- <br />drafts if the embryo number is not carefully controlled such that competition can come into <br />play. Thus, the timing location and the amount of seeding material dispersed irt a cloud <br />are extremely important, but not enough is known about this aspect of modification <br />optimization. <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />In a cloud which already reaches levels of low temperatures, the rele~se of latent <br />heat may not be that important. However, cloud tops could be raised through the thermal <br />feedback and make the cloud conditions more favourable for precipitation. This type of <br />concept is called dynamic seeding. <br /> <br />Dynamic-thermodynamic consequences of seeding have been considered for hurricane <br />moderation where the formation of a second eyewall (consisting of very active convective <br />clouds) further out from the existing one could reduce the maximum wind and thus a major <br />factor for hurricane damage. Prevention of warm fog by heating with burners like at Orly <br />Airport (Sauvalle, 1976) is another "brute force" method to burn up or evaporat~ the cloud <br />droplets by application of large amounts of energy. This is still cheaper than: to disperse <br />large CCN's (like NaC~) and have the fog droplets fallout as acid rain which w~uld do a <br />lot of damage to aircraft by corrosion. <br /> <br />Stirring up of cold air covering orchards - mostly as a direct or indirect result <br />of radiation cooling - has proven to be very satisfactory through the use of large fans. <br />At other places heating or continuous icing (release of latent heat of fusion) pave proven <br />to be very efficient. The area of frost prevention, however, is not normally considered <br />part of weather modification. <br /> <br />8. Conclusions <br /> <br />The expansion of our knowledge in cloud dynamics and cloud microphysifs during <br />the past three decades has been enormous. The advances, however, are not yet such that all <br />the details of precipitation formation including intricate feedbacks are understood. This <br />limitation also has its consequences in terms of weather modification. A few principal <br />concepts are recognized (may be there are others?) but we still have a long way' to go to <br />apply them properly and timely in order to get the most efficient results. ! <br /> <br />One other problem should be mentioned: the proof that a weather modification <br />activity has worked. Due to the state of the art of cloud physics and weather fuodification <br />any proof needs to be statistically sound and physically satisfactory. The startdards of <br />acceptability have been considerably increased in the past years and they are harder to <br />satisfy. Thus, one also has to consider the possibility that weather modification activi- <br />ties might have been successful, but the criteria applied for the judgement may; not have <br />given a definitive answer. <br /> <br />, <br />1 <br />I <br />Acknowledgements. The author is grateful for the support by the Atmospheric Environment <br />Service and the National Research Council, both of Canada, and the U.S. National Oceanic <br />and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce through the National Severe Storms <br />Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma. <br />