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<br />II <br /> <br />"These objectives are oriented toward :Learning definite <br />answers of the technological factors and feasibility considera- <br />tions involved in producing large quantities of additional <br />streamflow in the upper Colorado River Basin." <br /> <br />II <br /> <br />II <br /> <br />Studies of the associated social and environmental considera- <br />tions will be made in conjunction with the Pilot Project to <br />define any problems and suggest means of resolving them. <br />Field experiments independent of the Pilot Project in other <br />areas of the upper Basin and adjoining regions will furnish <br />additional climatological data and seeding experiences to <br />supplement the Pilot Project findings. . ." (Kahan, 1969; <br />Bureau of Reclamation, Skywater Conference V, 1969). <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />~ .. <br /> <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />A project ". . . to produce positive increases in snowfall <br />over large areas of the San Juan mountains and to provide <br />for sound scientific, engineering, and economic evaluations <br />of the precipitation increases in technology used". (Bureau <br />of Reclamation, 1970; Bureau of Reclamation, 1971:) <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />III <br />r <br /> <br />4. <br /> <br />A project ". . . to establish, at a reasonable level of <br />confidence, that weather modification in the Colorado River <br />Basin can produce at least a specific amount of additional <br />water at:~a cost not exceeding a specific figure. The accomplish- <br />ment dI this objective requires: <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />1. <br /> <br />A determination of the most likely amount of water added <br />from a specified treatment. <br /> <br />II <br /> <br />A determination of the cost of the treatment. <br />. - -~ ---.. ~ <br /> <br />A verification that a treatmen(d;'fi=iency at least <br /> <br />equal to that in past experimental-programs can be <br /> <br />obtained in a full scale operational program. <br /> <br />(Bureau of Reclamation, 1969) <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />2. <br /> <br />II <br /> <br />II <br /> <br />II <br /> <br />The above constitute different ways of stating the Pilot Project objectives. <br />They all apply. Difficulties arise in-accomplishing all of the objectives <br />simultaneously. Problems related to maintaining strict scientific <br />control while still resolving certain operational questions, introduces <br />many difficulties. In some cases compromises are required. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />III <br /> <br />III. SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL BASIS FOR THE PILOT PROJECT <br /> <br />III <br />~ <br />. <br />II <br /> <br />A. The Physical Basis for Seedi~~hic Clouds <br /> <br />Efforts to increase orographic precipitation were started shortly <br />after the initial discoveries of Schaefer in 1946 (Schaefer, 1946; <br />Schaefer and Langmuir, 1946) tha.t clouds eould be artificially <br />modified. Shortly after the initial cloud seeding experiments, T. <br />Bergeron (1949) made "an inventory of atmospheric clouds and cloud <br />systems" to evaluate their potential for weather modification. He <br />concluded 'that "the main possibility for causing considerable arti- <br />ficial rainfall might be found in certain kinds of orographic cloud <br />systems". <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />~"",,:~:'~~:'h:'~' <br /> <br />-"'" <br />