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<br />Evi dence about the potenti al for wi ntertime orographi c snowpack <br />augmentation in the high mountains of the Colorado River Basin is based <br />1 argely on stati sti cal data from past projects such as the Cl imax <br />(Mielke et al., 1981) and Wolf Creek Pass (Grant and Elliott, 1974) <br />experiments conducted by Colorado State University and the Bureau of <br />Reclamation'~Colorado River Basin Pilot Project (Elliott et al.~ 1978). <br />These results. were consistent with the physical hypothesis that seeding <br />under favorable conditions increases the precipitation efficiency of the <br />cloud systems. <br /> <br />In 1975 the comprehensive Westwide Study Report on Critical Water <br />Problems Facing the Eleven Western States (USDOI, 1975) was released by <br />the Secretary of the Interi or. The overall inadequacy of the natural <br />water supply was acknowledged and the various augmentation options were <br />examined. The report concluded: <br /> <br />"Taking into consideration availability, quantity; quality, <br />and cost of augmentation alternatives, weather modification <br />appears to be the most promising source of new water supply in <br />the Western United States." <br /> <br />The validity of cloud seeding as a means of increasing precipitation was <br />a major conclusion of the U. S. Secretary of Commerce's Weather <br />Modification Advisory Board. The Board in its 1978 report, the <br />Management of Weather Resources, stated: <br /> <br />II In terms of sci entifi c and technol ogi cal underpi nni ng, and <br />in consideration of probable high economic value, it is the <br />judgment of thi s (Weather Modifi cati on Advi sory) Board that <br />seedi ng wi nter orographi c storms to increase the amount of <br />snow in the hi gh mountai nous watersheds of the West is the <br />most advanced -- and closest to significant, broad-scale <br />operational use -- of all cloud seeding possibilities. A suc- <br />cessful confirmatory experiment -- including, of course, pro- <br />vision for assessing the seeding results -- must be completed <br />before large-scale seeding of winter orographic storms is con- <br />sidered to be an acceptable tool, available to water resource <br />decisionmakers.1I <br /> <br />Recent advances in the technology of winter orographic cloud <br />seeding resulting from programs such as the Bureau's Sierra Cooperative <br />Pilot ~roject and the Colorado River Augmentation Demonstration Program <br />have provided knowledge on which clouds should and could not be seeded. <br />They have also developed new instrumentation and techniques for <br />recognizing opportunities in real-time and reacting to them in a timely <br />manner with more effective seeding delivery systems. <br /> <br />Environmental effects <br /> <br />Envi ronmental studi es such as the San Juan Ecology Project <br />(Steinhoff and Ives, 1976) and' the Ui nta Ecology Project (Harper, 1981) <br /> <br />I ........ " <br />