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<br />D R AFT <br /> <br />General Program Approach <br /> <br />The general approach proposed in this conceptual plan is to conduct a <br />total program in four broad phases: <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />1. Planning Phase <br />2. Confirmatory Phase <br />3. Demonstration Phase <br />4. Operational Phase <br /> <br />The relation and schedule of these phases are shown on figure 2 <br />titled, IIComprehensive Framework of Program Phases and Projects.1I <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />The general definitions and objectives of the proposed confimatory <br />experiment - SNOWCAST - which is the key project in the Confirmatory <br />Phase - are consistent with the recommendation in the Weather Modifica- <br />tion Advisory Board report 28/: <br /> <br />IIConfirmatory (sometimes called proof of concept) seeding <br />experiments have as their end objective the establishment of <br />some particular hypothesized seeding effect as a fact, within <br />some small and well-defined margin of error, both clearly stated <br />before the experiment. Confirmatory experiments must be precisely <br />designed, tightly controlled, and free of unconscious or accidental <br />bias. If the Ifact' to be confirmed is one that may lead to <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />35 <br />