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<br />DRAFT <br /> <br />potential should be expected in a responsibly conducted operational <br />application program. Reductions will usually be greater in the heavy <br />snowfall years and less in dry years. Thus, a reasonable average <br />augmentation of about 1,000,000 to 1,200,000 acre-feet per year in <br />the Upper Basin can be considered, based on current estimates, for <br />determining benefits and use of additional water from cloud seeding. <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />The CRSS (Colorado River Simulation System) developed by the Bureau <br />of Reclamation offers a modeling approach to study possible effects <br />of future water uses and developments in the Colorado River Basin. <br />The CRSS model, which includes reservoir operations, has been tested <br />and used in the Bureau's investigations of westwide water problems 18/ <br />and was used in a study to estimate the probable utility and benefit <br />of an assumed basinwide cloud seeding program conducted for a 1991 to <br />2020 period. Projected water developments for this study period were <br />incorporated and stochastically generated waterflows were used for <br />both the future river system inputs and as a base for estimating an <br />augmentation potential. Reductions for suspensions and operating <br />effectiveness averaging about 20 percent of the potential were used <br />in this study. <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />Five possible uses of additional water and benefits are anticipated: <br /> <br />1. Insuring full water deliveries for the 1944 Water Treaty <br />obligations and current Reclamation projects to provide continued <br />full benefits. <br /> <br />19 <br />