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<br />8 <br /> <br />, <br />" <br /> <br />"HIPLEX results have tended to confirm earlier findings concerning the <br />initiation of natural precipitation in cumulus clouds. In the southern plains, <br />where cloud-base temperature is often +10 to +150C, precipitation is usual- <br />ly initiated by coalescence; however, major storms always involve the <br />Bergeron Process and, possibly, hail formation in their later stages as the <br />cloud tops rise far above the OOC isotherm (Tex. Dep. Water Resour., 1982). <br />In the northern plains, where cloud base temperatures are typically 0 to <br />+ 100 C, precipitation generally forms through the Bergeron Process (Hobbs <br />et al., 1980). These findings agree with earlier observations. <br />As noted above, the design of HIPLEX-1 provided a mechanism for moni- <br />toring links in the physical hypothesis linking dry ice seeding to precipitation <br />in supercooled cumulus clouds. <br />A first look at the results of the 20 test cases indicates that dry ice seed- <br />ing produced additional ice crystals (Table IV). Fig. 1, taken from Cooper <br />et al. (1981), demonstrates clearly the marked difference in CIC2 that ex- <br />isted between seeded and unseeded clouds. <br />Table V shows P-values obtained from the MRPP analysis of the HIPLEX- <br />1 primary response variables tabulated to date (P. Mielke, private communi- <br />cation, 1982). A P-value is simply the probability that the difference be- <br />tween the seed and no-seed cases for the variable and sets of cases in ques- <br />tion arose entirely by chance. The P-values confirm that dry ice seeding pro- <br />duced changes in the concentrations of ice crystals at 2 and 5 min after <br />treatment time in both type Al and type B clouds. The pooled data also <br />show a significant difference in the concentration of rimed crystals 5 min <br />after treatment time. <br /> <br />TABLE IV <br /> <br />Response variable <br /> <br />Average values of HIPLEX-l primary response variables <br /> <br />Average value <br /> <br />Unseeded <br /> <br />Seeded <br /> <br />eIe 2 (I-I) <br />eIe 5 (I-I) <br />eCR5 (1"') <br /> <br />PIC 8 (1-1) <br />MVD 8 (mm) <br />Awe 8 (gm-3) <br /> <br />TFPI (s) <br />TFE (s) <br />TIPA (s) <br />TIPR (s) <br /> <br />AER (mm km') <br />RERC (mm km') <br /> <br />0.2 <br />1.1 <br />0.5 <br />0.02 <br />0.97 <br />0.03 <br />790a <br />1 750a <br />2110a <br />2210a <br />0.37 <br />0.0015 <br /> <br />15.8 <br />20.8 <br />45.2 <br />0.05 <br />1.13 <br />0.04 <br />650 <br />1 440a <br />1 930a <br />2270a <br /> <br />1.23 <br />0.32 <br /> <br />a Average reflects inclusion in calculations of default values for non-precipitating clouds. <br />