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<br />, <br />" <br /> <br />12 <br /> <br />Plains (Tex, Dep, Water Resour., 1982), but there is not enough evidence to <br />evaluate their suggestions. <br />In any case, studies to identify criteria which would distinguish clouds <br />that persist from clouds that do not would be worthwhile. We have already <br />noted that mesoscale features control the organization and size of convective <br />clouds and, hence, the rainfall they can produce. One encouraging finding <br />from the Texas HIPLEX work is that the mesoscale features controlling <br />convection can be identified. Rawinsonde networks with spacings of 200 km <br />have been found adequate to locate mesoscale features associated with heavy <br />convective outbreaks. The mesoscale features can be identified objectively <br />by computer analyses using filter techniques (D. Matthews, private com- <br />munication,1982). <br />An ability to identify and follow mesoscale features opens up many pos- <br />sibilities in future cloud seeding experiments. For one thing, it would be <br />possible to concentrate seeding experiments upon clouds in regions favoring <br />further growth, rather than upon clouds destined to disappear a few minutes <br />after their selection as test cases. The ability to measure mesoscale conver- <br />gence would also provide an estimate of what the clouds would have done <br />in the absence of seeding, thereby sharpening the statistical analysis. <br />Continued attention to numerical modeling, including simulation of seed- <br />ing effects, should improve our understanding of possible physical mechan- <br />isms linking seeding to precipitation at the ground. Present indications are <br />that the effect of seeding varies greatly among individual clouds, which is <br />one likely reason why many statistical experiments have not been conclusive. <br />It is not likely that two- or three-dimensional models could be run in real- <br />time as an aid to cloud seeding operations, but it is reasonable to suppose <br />that long-term modeling efforts will improve the physical hypotheses and <br />thereby help in the design of future experiments. <br /> <br />ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS <br /> <br />The author wishes to express his appreciation to Dr. Bernard Silverman, <br />Dr. Arlin Super and Mr. David Matthews of the Bureau of Reclamation for <br />stimulating discussions and to Drs. Paul Mielke and Ken Berry of Colorado <br />State University, for providing the P-values in Table V. <br /> <br />REFERENCES <br /> <br />Braham, R.R., Jr., 1981. Designing cloud seeding experiments for physical understanding. <br />Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 62: 55-62. <br />Braham, R.R., Jr., Battan, L.J. and Byers, H.R., 1957. Artificial nucleation of cumulus. <br />clouds. In: Cloud and Weather Modification. Meteorol. Monogr. 2(11), American <br />Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, pp. 47-85. <br />BuREC, 1979. The Design of HIPLt.i:X-1. Rep., Division of Atmospheric ResouctJ Re- <br />search, Bureau of Reclamation, U.S. Department of the Interior, Denver, CO, 271 pp. <br />Coons, R.D. and Gunn, R., 1951. Relation of artificial cloud-modification to the produc- <br />tion of precipitation. In: T.F. Malone (Editor), Compendium of Meteorology. Ameri- <br />can Meteorological Society, Boston, MA. pp. 235-241. <br />