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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:32:32 PM
Creation date
4/11/2008 3:39:42 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Application of the Colorado River Simulation System in Evaluation of Weather Modification Activity
Prepared By
Edward M. Novak
Date
7/1/1980
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />PROCEDURES <br /> <br />A set of CRSS historic hydrologic flows (1933-1974) was subjectively <br />selected and used in evaluation of precipitation enhancement data. <br /> <br />This set was run through CRSS simulation, including flows from precipitation <br />enhancement, and data were compared to the flows without precipitation <br />enhancement. Reduction of shortages, flows to Mexico, changes in sal inity, <br />flow response, reservoir response, increased power production, and associated <br />revenues were then eval uated. Flows were exami ned for an Upper Bas inwidE! <br />operational weather modification program period of 1991 to 2020. <br /> <br />The numerical source used in establishing the increment of increase in runoff <br />from weather modification was the TBWMOD (Twelve Basin Investigation Micr'o- <br />physical and Convective Estimates). This source provided a medium incrernen- <br />tal increase in flow in the Colorado River System. <br /> <br />Figure 1 illustrates the principal cloud seeding areas in the Colorado River <br />Basin which are under examination. The Mogollon Massif in the Lower Co'lClrado <br />River Basin was not examined in this effort. Only flow inside the Colorado <br />River Basin was examined in this study. The numbers associated with each <br />area in figure 1 indicate the estimated yearly increase in flow from weather <br />modification based on the total of 1622 x 106 cubic meters (1 315 000 acre- <br />feet) from TBWMOD in the Upper Colorado River Basin. There is no streamflow <br />gage at the Lee Ferry Compact point which is the dividing point between the <br />Upper Basin and Lower Basin, as defined in the Colorado River Compact 19~~2. <br />Flow is computed as the sum of flow at stations on the Colorado River and <br />Paria River at Lees Ferry. <br /> <br />Figure 2 depicts the block diagram for the entire River Basin Simulation <br />System. It was necessary to adjust the Hydrology Data Base for the Color'ado <br />River Basin with the anticipated changes from weather modification befoq! <br />input into the actual CRSM (Colorado River Simulation Model). <br /> <br />In CRSS the Basin is separated into various reaches or subbasins which <br />hereinafter are called nodes. These nodes are then further developed into <br />individual points at which inflows of water, demands on water, and reservoirs <br />are located. For the Colorado River Basin, each of the 22 nodes represents a <br />specific geographic area. Up to 10 inflows and 10 different demands (vari- <br />ables) can be identified within each node. Based on projected time/watey' <br />demands relationships made for each demand point, the impact on system \'Iater <br />supply and quality can be analyzed. Demands input into the model were Py'o- <br />vided by Regional Representatives of the Water and Power Resources Service. <br />In the Upper Basin, each demand generally represents one of the followin~1 <br />functions: <br /> <br />1. Present level use <br />2. Agriculture <br />3. Municipal and industrial use <br />4. Export s <br /> <br />2 <br />
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