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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:32:23 PM
Creation date
4/11/2008 3:38:50 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Contract/Permit #
14-06-D-6467
Title
An Operational Adaptation Program for the Colorado River Basin
Prepared By
Lewis O. Grant, Chappell, Crow, Mielke Jr., Rasmussen, Shobe, Stockwell, Wykstra
Date
10/1/1969
State
CO
Country
United States
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />are either inadequate or missing. Most of these <br />stations are near the Continental Divide in Colorado <br />or on streams from the Uinta Mountains in Utah and <br />ViTyoming. For purposes of snow runoff relationships <br />the,se diversions tend to be relatively constant and of <br />lesser effect on larger streams. The lack of records <br />on diversions account for low correlation on smaller <br />stC'eams to some degree. <br /> <br />Snow accumulation to April 1 (or <br />1113.ximum date) is the major factor affecting flow in <br />snow melt streams. There are several other factors. <br />These include precipitation after April 1 through the <br />snow melt season, soil moisture conditions, and <br />ground water levels on the watershed. The snow melt <br />or temperature sequence also affects total runoff and <br />especially peak stage. In most years these other <br />effects tend to balance and approach an average over <br />a season. They are difficult to evaluate unless there <br />is an extreme and lengthy deviation of climatic condi- <br />tions from normal. In the past 20 years, the 1957 <br />water year was noted for excessive snow accumulation <br />after April 1 and a delayed snow melt in Colorado <br />mountains. <br /> <br />Flows of the previous year or more <br />have a substantial effect on many watersheds. It is <br />noted that flows for the years 1953, 1958, 1963 and <br />1965 tended to exceed that which should have been <br />expected from the snow cover. These followed heavy <br />runoff years. On the other hand flows in 1956 and <br />1962 were generally less than expected because <br />these years followed two or three years of low <br />runoff. <br /> <br />The period April - August, inclusive, <br />is generally the best period to represent snow melt <br />runoff in determining snowpack-streamflow relation- <br />ships. At lower elevations the inclusion of March <br />flows would be slightly preferable. Any period from <br />March through September that includes May, June <br />and July are highly correlated and represents a fair <br />index of snow melt runoff in the Upper Colorado B8sin. <br />Direct snow melt runoff ranges from 75 to 85% of <br />total annual runoff. If the flow that is delayed through <br />groundwater storage is added, the snow melt runoff <br />would probably account for near 90% of total annual <br />flow ~ <br /> <br />Precipitation records during the winter <br />and spring months at high elevation stations are also <br />us ed to forecast streamflow. The practice is to <br />adjust monthly total precipitation to give greater <br />weight to mid-winter months. Where good precipita- <br />tion records are available these records can be used <br />as a satisfactory parameter to relate to subsequent <br />runefL No studies of these relations have been made <br />at this time. <br /> <br />Runoff data, elevation of gaging stations <br />and their drainage area were taken from appropriate <br />tables in Sur f ace W ate r Sup ply Pap e r s <br />published by the U. S. Geological Survey. Snow course <br />deLta was obtained from data summary publications of <br />the Soil Conservation Service. Detailed descriptions <br />of stations and snow courses are shown in the respec- <br />ti'\Te reports and are consequently not included here. <br />Table X:;(II presents a summary description of some <br />oi -{ne rn.ore in'lportant geographic and hydrologic <br /> <br />characteristics of selected strearris within the <br />Colorado River Basin and for dowrl.wind basins that <br />would also be affected by Weather bodification within <br />the Colorado River Basin. I <br /> <br />The mean elevation of the waLersheds <br />I <br />was estimated roughly from 500-f<j>ot contour-scale <br />1:500,000 maps of states. The es~imated elevation <br />is believed to be correct within 300 feet. <br /> <br />The minimum snow'line elevation is <br />based on five inches of snow water equivalent on <br />April 1 of an average year. The elevation of this <br />line varies with aspect and exposure. Estimates <br />were made from data on low eleva~ion snow courses, <br />and personal observation of snow pack conditions for <br />several seasons. An average of f~ve inches water <br />content is near the minimum snoW: pack that can <br />produce runoff after satisfying so~l moisture deficits, <br />and transpiration and evaporation losses during the <br />snow melt season. <br /> <br />, <br />--! <br /> <br />The acre inches per acre is figured by <br />dividing mean April-August runoff by the total area <br />of the \vatershed. The runoff per 'unit area follo\X/s a <br />pattern related to the size of the snow pack area of <br />the watershed. This may not be r:elated to total <br />watershed area. <br /> <br />The estimate of acre-feet runoff per <br />inch of snow water equivalent is based on the slope <br />of the relationships points (estimated least square <br />line). It is adjusted somewhat to reflect any deviation <br />of the average of the elevations of, the snow courses <br />used from the average snow pack ~levation of the <br />watershed. <br /> <br />The percentage column represents the <br />percent that one inch of snow water equivalent will <br />produce of the total April-August runOff. <br /> <br />The correlation coefficient was <br />calculated by the rank-difference (Spearman) method. <br />This is a rough estimate. Correlation coefficients <br />using the actual snow course and runoff data may <br />vary up to .05 from that calculate;d by the rank- <br />difference method. Typically the 'variation will be <br />about.02. Data is available to c~1culate the least <br />square line, the standard deviation of runoff, and <br />a more accurate correlation coefficient. <br /> <br />In the Colorado Rh;er at Lee's Ferry, <br />Arizona, one inch of snow water equivalent at the <br />10, OOO-foot level over the basin '*ill produce about <br />three quarter million acre feet during the snow <br />melt season or one million acre feet annually. This <br />excludes some two and one half to three million <br />acre feet diverted or used in the Upper Basin. <br /> <br />Figures 51 through 56 show the <br />relationship between April 1 snow, cover and runoff <br />for a few selected stations in the Colorado River <br />Basin. These are .considered representative of <br />relationships that can be established for other areas. <br /> <br />A summary of the distribution of <br />correlation coefficients obtained f9r the 70 streams <br />studied is shown in Figure 57. It can be noted that <br />8, or 110/0, of the, streams have corfelations with <br />snowpack of . 9 or better and 50, or 71%, are correlated <br />at .8 or better. <br /> <br />64 <br />
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