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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:32:23 PM
Creation date
4/11/2008 3:38:50 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Contract/Permit #
14-06-D-6467
Title
An Operational Adaptation Program for the Colorado River Basin
Prepared By
Lewis O. Grant, Chappell, Crow, Mielke Jr., Rasmussen, Shobe, Stockwell, Wykstra
Date
10/1/1969
State
CO
Country
United States
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />TABLE XIX. --Upper level meteorological parameters associated with excessive daily snowfall on Wolf Creek <br />Pass. Storm events have produced 1. 20 inches water equivalent per 24 hours at Wolf Creek West and/or <br />Wolf Creek Summit. <br /> <br /> W. C. West W. C. Summit 700 mb 500 mb 700 mb 500 mb 700 mb 700 mb Mean <br /> Daily Daily Wind Wind Wind Wind Mixing Equiv. 500 mb Temp. Convective <br />Date Precip. Precip. Direction Direction Speed Speed Ratio Pct. ~ Temp. Advectim Instability <br /> (Inches) (Inches) (Degrees) (Degrees) (MPS) (MPS) ~ (OK) (OC) (OC/12 hI) (OC) <br />- <br />(Unseeded <br />11-25-65 1. 60 M 250 250 19 32 3.93 316.8 -15 O. 2.7 <br />12-23-65 M 2.27 210 220 13 25 4.04 313.9 -18 2.3 1.5 <br />12-30-65 M 2.60 220 230 28 32 3.73 316.2 -15 6:4 2.8 <br />12-16-67 1. 34 1. 24 180 190 13 28 3.73 310.7 -18 2.6 3.9 <br />12-19-67 1. 97 1. 65 220 240 18 28 2.43 304. 8 -22 7.1 3.9 <br />12-20-67 2.11 2.10 220 220 17 28 3.00 306. 4 -21 0 3. 5 <br />1- 28-68 1.43 1. 76 220 230 19 31 2.73 307.9 -21 4.2 1.1 <br />2 -13 - 68 1. 41 .84 240 260 5 15 2.26 298. 8 -23 1.1 8.4 <br />Average 1. 64 1. 78 220 230 16.5 27.4 3.23 309.4 -19.1 2. 9 3. 5 <br />(Seeded) <br />12-28-64 M 2.40 250 260 18 29 2.84 310.4 -18 3.7 4.6 <br />1-7-65 3.05 2.39 230 230 9 32 3.60 312.6 -13 0 10.4 <br />1-8 -65 1. 52 .98 230 230 17 32 2.99 311. 9 -18 0 1.5 <br />4 -10-65 1.20 .74 220 230 17 23 2.62 309.7 -21 2.8 -1. 0 <br />12 -6 ,.66 2.43 3.03 260 280 22 29 4.42 317.1 -12 8.9 7.4 <br />12 -7 -66 2.40 2.13 240 250 16 27 4.61 318.8 -14 3.1 3.3 <br />3-11-67 1.21 1. 04 240 230 15 23 2.94 309.6 -19 -2.5 3.1 <br />Average 1. 97 1. 84 239 244 16.3 27.9 3.43 312.9 -16.4 2.3 4.2 <br />Overall Average 229 237 16.4 27.7 3.33 311.2 -17.8 2.6 3.8 <br /> <br />As might be expected the moisture <br />, content is relatively quite high during these excessive <br />snowfalls. The 700 mb mixing ratio ranges from <br />2. 26 gm/kgm upward to 4. 61 gm/kgm during these <br />events averaging about 3. 2 gm/kgm for unseeded and <br />3.4 gm/kgm for seeded cases, respectively. <br /> <br />Equivalent potential t.emperatures at <br />700 mb associated with these storms are also <br />relatively high ranging from 2990 K to 3190 K for <br />individual days. The average varies from 309.40 K <br />for the unseeded events to 312. 90 K for seeded <br /> <br />cases. <br /> <br />Temperatures near cloud top (500 mb) <br />range from _150 C to _230 C with an average of <br />-19.10 C for the unseeded events. The seeded <br />episodes have 500 mb temperatures ranging from <br />_120 C to _210 C with an average of -16.40 C. <br /> <br />These excessive snowfall events <br />gencrally occur with the 700-500 mb layer stab:,e <br />with respect to moist convection. Only the seeded <br />case of April 10, 1965, shows a decrease of <br />equivalent potential temperature through the layer. <br /> <br />Table XIX also shows that daily snow- <br />falls of 1. 20 inches water equivalent have occurred <br />on Wolf Creek Pass during every month from <br />November through April during the 1964-68 winter <br />season. However, the month of December had 8 of <br />! the total of 15 occurrences and the six-week period <br /> <br />from November 25 through January 8 accounts for <br />almost three-fourths of all occurrences during the <br />four-year period of study. The annual frequency of <br />these events is about 4 per year. <br /> <br />The warmer cloud top temperatures <br />(500 mb) during the seeded events are interesting. <br />The difference of 2. 70 C in the means of the unseeded <br />and seeded cases results in a student's "t" value of <br />1. 58 with 13 degrees of freedom. Thus, a null <br />hypothesis that the means of the two samples are <br />identical may be rejected at the 7% significance <br />level. This indicates some possibility that more of <br />these large daily storms are occurring at warmer <br />cloud top temperatures during seeded years. <br /> <br />Two Day Snowfalls <br />Table XX shows the upper air <br />climatology of two day storms on Wolf Creek Pass <br />which produces 4.0 inches water equivalent at Wolf <br />Creek West and/ or Wolf Creek Summit. The <br />annual frequency of such storms has been about one <br />per year during the four years of study. <br /> <br />The strong orographic influence and <br />unusually large moisture quantities characterize <br />these storms. The wind flow is southwesterly <br />with speeds generally 33 to 43 knots at 700 mb and <br />55 to 65 knots at 500 mb while these storms are in <br />progress. <br /> <br />61 <br />
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