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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:32:23 PM
Creation date
4/11/2008 3:38:50 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Contract/Permit #
14-06-D-6467
Title
An Operational Adaptation Program for the Colorado River Basin
Prepared By
Lewis O. Grant, Chappell, Crow, Mielke Jr., Rasmussen, Shobe, Stockwell, Wykstra
Date
10/1/1969
State
CO
Country
United States
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />hours when there is precipitation at <br />points in the entire San Juan area is <br />considerably greater than when <br />there is precipitation at any single <br />station. It does rot seem unreasonable, <br />therefore, to estimate that there are <br />at least 700 to 800 hours of precipita- <br />tion in the San Juan Mountains during <br />an average winter. <br /> <br />Investigations are in progress to <br />refine the above estimates and extend <br />them in order to determine the <br />number of hours that can be expected <br />for various meteorological conditions <br />with varying degrees of suitability for <br />weather modification operations. <br /> <br />b. Daily precipitation <br />The average wintertime precipitation <br />(November - April) between November 1953 and <br />April 1960 at Climax was 14.14 inches. Since the <br />average number of days with precipitation during <br />this interval was 85, the mean daily precipitation on <br />days with precipitation was . 17 inch. The average <br />of 85 days, with snowfall per winter season amounts to <br />47%, or almost half, of the 181 days during the <br />November - April period. 35% of the days with <br />precipitation had. 06 inch or less, 500/0 had. 11 inch <br />of less, 800/0 had. 26 inch or less, and the extreme <br />value recorded was. 95 inch. 90% of all the daily <br />precipitation events during this interval were in the <br />range from. 03 to .50 inch. While Climax is <br />representative of much of the area that accumulates <br />snowpack in the northern Colorado Rockies, many <br />higher elevations and areas exposed to stronger <br />orographic influences receive total winter snowfall <br />of nearly double the Climax amount. The additional <br />snowfall at thes e locations results both from additional <br />days of snowfall and from somewhat greater daily <br />amounts. The general pattern of light snowfall with <br />precipitation occurring on about half of all winter <br />days is representative, however, of all important <br />snow-producing areas of the northern and central <br />Colorado Rockies. This can be seen from Table XI. <br />This shows the monthly, seasonal, and 3-year <br />average precipitation and the number of precipitation <br />days for Berthoud Pass, Fraser, Grand Lake, and <br />Hot Sulphur Springs. All of these stations are in the <br />Upper Basin of the Colorado River. Berthoud Pass <br />is in one of the higher precipitation areas. Most <br />daily snowfalls, even in the heavier snow areas, <br />are less than. 20 inch per day with daily totals <br />greater than 1 inch very infrequent. <br /> <br />The three season (1964-67) record of <br />days with greater than. 40 inch per day for Berthoud <br />Pass is shown in Table XII. It can be noted that <br />there :were four days in three years with daily <br />precipitation greater than 1 inch, the greatest being <br />1. 27 inches. It can be noted further that there <br />were only nine days in the three years (average of <br />3 per year) with daily precipitation as great as <br />.75 inch per day. <br /> <br />In contrast to the northern part of the <br />Colorado River Basin, the San Juan Mountains on <br />occasion receive heavy ds..ily precipito..tion amounts <br /> <br />which result from storms moving ~n from the south- <br />I <br />west. Many mountain stations in tpat area can expect <br />daily amounts of precipitation in excess of 1 inch <br />several times each winter. In the !higher precipitation <br />areas, precipitation amounts excefding 1 inch can be <br />expected on the average from 3 to !6 times each winter <br />season. Daily amount s in excess bf 2 inches can be <br />expected at some of these stations:on an average of <br />to 3 days each winter and occasiodally daily amounts <br />in excess of 3 inches are reported~ The relative <br />importance of the few days of hea.Jy precipitation is <br />reflected in Figure 35 where it car!). be noted that <br />slightly over 30% of the total seas~nal snowfall occurs <br />on only 10% of the heavier snowfal~ days. Despite the <br />fact that a few heavy precipitationjdays occur each <br />year, there are a relatively large ;number of days with <br />light precipitation. This can also Ibe noted in Figure <br />35 by observing that 50% of the precipitation days <br />contribute less than 20% of the totfl snowfall. <br /> <br />To summarize this i section on daily <br />snowfall, approximately 50% of the days each winter <br />have snowfall at mountain elevations above 9,000 to <br />10, 000 ft at anyone location. Daily precipitation <br />amounts in general are light, with daily averages <br />being under. 50 inch on some 80% to 90% of all days. <br />Precipitation amounts in excess of 1 inch can be <br />expected on a few days each winter in the San Juan <br />Mountains and occasionally at the ihigher precipitation <br />areas in the northern portion of the Basin. <br /> <br />c. Storm duration <br />The duration of individual storms <br />affects both the planning and oper~tions in a weather <br />modification program. An arbitrary definition has <br />been used to identifv storm days, . and on this basis, <br />," . I <br />Table Xl[ has been prepared to show the frequency of <br />storms of different duration. The storm day has <br />been defined as a day on which precipitation of at <br />least. 01 inch of precipitation was measured at three <br />or more of the four hourly recording stations in the <br />San Juan area. Using this definition, there were ap- <br />proximately 80 storm periods and 162 storm days in a <br />set of three years' data from November 1964 through <br />May 1967. Since the 7-month, November-May period <br />contains 636 days for the 3-year period; 162 storm <br />days constitute approximately one-fourth of the total <br />636 elapsed days. Most storm periods are 3 days or <br />less. These include 72 of the 80 !3torm periods shown <br />in Table XIII. Less important storm days not included <br />Uc-1Table ALII indicate there were ,47 additional days <br />which had precipitation recorded at only 2 of the 4 <br />stations during the 3 seasons. There were an addi- <br />tional 64 days when precipitation ,occurred at only one <br />station. <br />d. The areal extent of prec,ipitation during an <br />episode , <br />General storms pr,oducing many hours <br />of precipitation in an area frequently do not have <br />coincident precipitation at stations separated by only a <br />short distance. The hours dur~ng which coincident <br />precipitation occurs at 3 or more of the recording <br />stations in the San Juan area constitute less than <br />half of the hours of total precipitation. Ouray, <br />Telluride, and Silverton are less than 20 miles apart <br />in the higher mountainous area and Durango is <br />approximately 40 miles from the other three and to <br />the south of the barrier. Ouray has an upslope , <br /> <br />46 <br />
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