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and 34 have a net stronger relationship with these two variables than 30 and 71. The key <br />part to note in these relationships is likely to occur by cross-examining the AMO and <br />MEI/SOI. The purpose of the preceding recommendation is that the ‘general’ <br />relationship of wet El Nino/drier La Nina and wet - AMO/dry + AMO is far from solid. <br /> In attempting to foresee the spring conditions in the Districts/entire Division one <br />should cross check both variables to assess the range of possibilities with respect to the <br />current conditions. The reasoning for this is that the ‘wet’ scenarios mentioned above <br />still portray a bit of ‘scatter’ or uncertainty as a number of El Nino years in the area still <br />resulted in fairly dry years. A good example that was not included in this particular <br />analysis dataset was the recently completed 2007 Water Year where El Nino conditions <br />were firmly established but, precipitation was generally less than normal in the District. <br />Figure 12 <br />See for an example. <br />Figure 12. Relationship of the Jan-Mar. SOI vs. District 34 Apr.-Jun. Basin Avg. Precip. <br />(% of normal) <br />Table 5. Summary of singleseasonApr.-Jun. Precipitation/HCIRelationships for the San <br />Juan/Doloresbasin(‘X’ indicatesa relativelystrong relationship and’O’ indicatesa relatively weak <br />relationship). <br />PDOMEISOINino 3.4 NAOAMO <br />District 30 X <br />OO <br />District 32 XXX <br />District 34 XXX <br />District 71 OOX <br />21 <br />