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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />- <br /> <br />CONTENTS <br /> <br /> <br />Page <br /> <br />Glossary of terms . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. xxix <br /> <br />1. Introduction ....................................................... 1 <br /> <br />1.1 Drought prior to Programme AI Ghait . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 <br />1.2 Establishment of Programme AI Ghait ............................ 1 <br />1.3 United States support of Programme AI Ghait . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 <br />1.4 Goal and objectives of Programme AI Ghait ........................ 2 <br />1.5 Program management ......................................... 3 <br />1.5.1 Project Steering Committee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 <br />1.5.2 National Steering Committee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 <br />1.5.3 Mission project officer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 <br />1.5.4 Resident scientific advisor ............................... 4 <br />1.5.5 Annual monitoring review ............................... 4 <br />1.5.6 External evaluation .................................... 4 <br />1.5.7 Coordination with other donors ........................... 4 <br /> <br />2. Scientific design of Programme AI Ghait .................................. 9 <br />2.1 Purpose and approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 <br />2.2 Choice of location. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 <br /> <br />2.2.1 Climatology.......................................... 10 <br /> <br />2.2.2 Choice of target and control areas ......................... 11 <br />2.3 Physical basis of project . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 <br />2.3.1 Seeding hypothesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 <br />2.3.2 Seedability of clouds in Morocco .......................... 12 <br />2.3.3 Criteria for selection ................................... 13 <br />2.3.4 Seeding agent ........................................ 13 <br />2.4 Scientific operations plan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 <br />2.4.1 Decision procedure for seeding operations .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 <br />2.4.2 Seeding opportunity forecasting and nowcasting ............... 15 <br />2.4.3 Seeding techniques and operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 <br />2.4.3.1 Aircraft seeding operations. . . . . . ~ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 <br />2.4.3.2 Ground-based seeding operations .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 <br />2.4.4 Cloud physics aircraft operations ..........,.....,.......... 18 <br />2.4.5 Operational use of meteorological surveillance equipment. . . . . . . . 19 <br />2.4.5.1 Rawinsonde operations .......................... 19 <br />2.4.5.2 Radar operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 <br />2.4.5.3 Satellite downlink station operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 <br />2.4.6 Data management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 <br />2.4.7 Operational efficiency .................................. 21 <br />2.5 Statistical design ...............................'.............. 21 <br />2.5.1 Design for evaluation of seeding effects on streamflow . . . . . . . . . . 22 <br />2.5.2 Adaptation of the Rhea orographic precipitation model ......... 23 <br /> <br />xv <br />