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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:35:20 PM
Creation date
3/11/2008 11:30:28 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
Harold D. Orville Symposium - Forty Years of Modeling Clouds and Weather Modification
Date
4/26/2003
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />assessments of "seedability" and cloud seeding <br />potential, experimental design considerations such as <br />the location, amount, and time of seeding, and studies <br />leading to greater understanding of cloud seeding <br />effects. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />II. SEEDING AGENTS AND TECHNIQUES <br />I. ICE-PHASE SEEDING <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Glaciogenic, or ice-phase, cloud seeding is the <br />most common form applied, and has been the subject of <br />nearly continuous study for over 50 years. It has been <br />used in both precipitation enhancement and hail <br />suppression applications. Silver iodide is by far the <br />most widely-used seeding agent in this category, <br />although dry ice has also been quite popular. A few <br />other chemical agents have fallen in and out of favor <br />over the years. The basic premise is that natural clouds <br />are normally deficient in ice particles at relatively low <br />supercoolings. Ice-phase cloud seeding aims to increase <br />the temperature at which ice is initiated, and increase <br />the concentration of ice particles in the relatively warm <br />region from OOC to -150 or -20oC where much 'of the <br />growth of precipitation-sized particles occurs. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />The degree of sophistication employed in cloud <br />seeding simulations has evolved over time. Early efforts <br />were relatively simplistic, being based upon the <br />temperature at which cloud liquid would transform to <br />cloud ice, or a temperature range over which this <br />transformation would occur. This is frequently referred <br />to as a first generation seeding treatment, and is typified <br />by Chang and Orville (1972) and Kopp and Orville <br />(1972). <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />-40 <br /> <br />...35 <br /> <br />.- -30 <br />(,) <br />2... <br />-25 <br />l-20 <br />a: <br />;:) -15 <br />~ <br />a: <br />~-IO <br />:l5 <br />~ -5 <br />o <br /> <br />I Cl..OUO WATER. <br />RAIN <br /> <br />The next level of improvement in the realism of <br />seeding simulations was to base the transformation of <br />liquid to ice on ice nuclei activation functions as in <br />Orville and Kopp (1974). This second generation <br />seediilg technique was based on a more solid physical <br />foundation, that being the direct response of the <br />processes of ice crystal nucleation and drop freezing to <br />modified ice nuclei activity spectra, Subsequent ice <br />crystal interactions including contact freezing of <br />raindrops, aggregation of ice crystals and the growth of <br />ice crystals to precipitation-sized particles via the <br />Bergeron process perpetuate the seeding effects. <br /> <br />Figure 1 provides a crude depiction of the different <br />particle regimes for first generation seeding techniques. <br />The regimes resulting for second generation techniques <br />are similar, but somewhat less arbitrary. It should be <br />noted that second-generation techniques are still quite <br />popular although most current applications also apply a <br />time and/or space window to the effects. <br /> <br />A significant improvement in realism is attained <br />when the seeding agent is treated as a separate field <br />variable in the simulations, as in Hsie et al. (1980) and <br />Kopp et at. (1983). This allows for realistic <br />representation of the introduction of the seeding <br />material, its subsequent transport within the flow field <br />and depletion as it is consumed. The conservation <br />equation for the seeding agent in third generation <br />seeding treatments contain appropriate source and sink <br />terms which vary depending on the type of seeding <br />agent being simulated. <br /> <br /> <br />]I[ CLOUD ICE, <br />'GRAUPEL <br />t t t <br />(vt-R-1r-B-4E) <br />:nb b.ooo WATEA. <br />GRAUPEL <br />(INClUDING <br />FROZEN RAIN) <br />-1C7C <br />Ila CLOUD WATER, <br />RAIN.GRAUPEL <br />I CLOUD WATER, <br />RAIN <br /> <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />II CLOUD ~TER, <br />RAIN. <br />GRAUPEL <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />(0 ) <br />NATURAL <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />m ClOUD ICE. <br />GRAUPEL <br /> <br />(b) <br />UGHT ICE- <br />PHASE SEEDING <br /> <br />(c) <br />HEAlY ICE- <br />PHASE SEEDING <br /> <br />Fig. 1. Moisture regimes in the model cloud~ (a) natural, (b) light ice-phase seeded; and (c) <br />heavy ice-phase seeded <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />15 <br />
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